Originally Posted by
EjinCaitsith
Are those guesstimates or actual values? I know for us, even a 10min scorp kill feels like an eternity, then doing 5+ in a row is mind-numbing, especially if you don't get a bead at the end of the night for all that time invested. Killing the 10 scorp/turtle needed for a bead really wasn't the problem for us, it was that after killing 10, everyone was so demotivated and drained from the experience that they never wanted to do it again. By all means, I'm not advocating this method as the end all way to farm beads, but I'm sure there are some groups out there that would rather just farm some shards than kill some of these NMs 10+ times for a bead.
Looking at Fake's 90 Mata kills with 7 messages, coupled with our LS's luck so far with messages(3/20 the past two nights and probably over 10 total so far since delve was released), it certainly seems to be higher than 5% chance to get a message to me. Obviously, more data needs to be compiled to get a better idea, since we have Jem and yourself with contradicting reports saying it's much lower(1%~).
Person pops. If there is message, we sleep it. If not, they die. Don't see why you would let the person die if you get the message.