So, I'm sure everyone who has multiple characters/accounts has noticed at some point that there seems to be some sort of pattern to what the daily dials or lotteries hand out. Whether it's seeing multiple similar high-priced sellables, or seeing 4x flowers in a row, there is frequently some sort of connection between the loot received on different characters/accounts, especially when done within a short time frame.
I've never run into any reports of organized testing, so I've decided to start on my own. ^^ My theory is that special dial/lottos have preset limited loot pools based on timeframe and rotate as time passes.
Likely possibilities for sync points:
1. RoE "Challenges"
2. Game Day
3. Real Time: 2hr/4hr time blocks, likely starting at JP midnight
4. Something else ~_~;; Really hoping it's one of the above.
I've started recording results from the Chacharoon ticket, but doubt I'll be able to come up with anything beyond anecdotal evidence on my own since I only have 13 characters to work with. I plan to continue this testing with other dials/lottos though, since I believe the likelihood of a universal system is high, so figured there might be enough time to establish a link before the Jingle Baaas event ends if others contribute. To clarify, right now all I am trying to do is reasonably prove that there is a connection between loot pools and time. Not too worried about pinpointing the contents of the pools at this time since it is likely a one-time event. (That will probably be my next project after this one is completed.)
Right now, I'm recording: RoE, gameday, gametime, realtime(JST), (and any timed system messages just-in-case.) Any other suggestions for likely sync points? How much data am I going to have to collect before we can be confident which point is the correct one? Anyone willing to contribute who I can trust not to vandalize a Google doc spreadsheet?
I'm thinking that if we can pinpoint the reference/sync points, then it should be possible to map out the loot pools.
edit: Google Docs Spreadsheet
Recording: ROE challenge, game day, game time, real time, item name, date, server. Notes are for any sort of system-wide scheduled event that might possibly have an impact on loot table rotation.
All are welcome to add to the table, please don't delete/change anything other than your own entries. ^^
Edit: Wanted Dial recording has begun! Contribute if you can, 2x of my characters are too new to spin the dials so I'm down to only 11x for this testing.... orz