Eastern Conference
Atlantic 1 Habs vs WildCard 1 Rangers
Season series: Habs won 3-0-0 (Rangers 0-2-1)
Stats from the trade deadline to the end of the season:
score close 5v5 CF%: Habs 52.80 - Rangers 47.93
score close 5v5 SF%: Habs 53.11 - Rangers 48.07
score close 5v5 GF%: Habs 55.22 - Rangers 50
score close 5v5 SCF%: Habs 51.60 - Rangers 46.22
PP%: Habs 10.5 (LOL) - Rangers 26.5
PK%: Habs 86.7 - Rangers 76.8
Unless Kreider takes out Price again, or if the league allows goals where Price is literally dragged out of his net, Habs will take it.
Habs in 5
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Atlantic 2 Sens vs Atlantic 3 Bruins
Season series: Sens won 4-0-0 (Bruins 0-3-1)
Stats from the trade deadline to the end of the season:
score close 5v5 CF%: Sens 49.54 - Bruins 53.69
score close 5v5 SF%: Sens 51.25 - Bruins 54.03
score close 5v5 GF%: Sens 55.38 - Bruins 52.31
score close 5v5 SCF%: Sens 49.40 - Bruins 53.28
PP%: Sens 16.4 - Bruins 28.6
PK%: Sens 71.4 - Bruins 85.5
Sens won the season series, but the Bruins seem to be the better team heading into the playoffs. However, the Sens and Bruins played 3 times in March/April, and Sens won those.
Sens in 6
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Metro 1 Caps vs WildCard 2 Toranna
Season series: Caps won 2-1-0 (Leafs went 1-1-1)
Stats from the trade deadline to the end of the season:
score close 5v5 CF%: Caps 54.08 - Leafs 50.24
score close 5v5 SF%: Caps 54.94 - Leafs 47.16
score close 5v5 GF%: Caps 50.00 - Leafs 48.61
score close 5v5 SCF%: Caps 52.58 - Leafs 50.47
PP%: Caps 25.8 - Leafs 26.3
PK%: Caps 82.8 - Leafs 78.4
This series should be closer than expected based on the advanced stats, but the Leafs are not healthy heading into the playoffs, so we'll never find out.
Caps in 4
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Metro 2 Penguins vs Metro 3 #LUMBUS
Season series: Tied (2-1-1 for both teams, nod to LUMBUS for +3 goal differential, but that was a 7-1 rout)
Stats from the trade deadline to the end of the season:
score close 5v5 CF%: Pens 48.27 - Lumbus 49.63
score close 5v5 SF%: Pens 48.16 - Lumbus 50.90
score close 5v5 GF%: Pens 51.16 - Lumbus 53.97
score close 5v5 SCF%: Pens 48.84 - Lumbus 51.08
PP%: Pens 28.6 - Lumbus 11.6
PK%: Pens 77.8 - Lumbus 83.3
The stats all seem to favor Lumbus, except PP%. I think the Pens can turn it up a notch, whereas Lumbus has been flooring it for the most of the year. I dont think they have as much in the tank. The thing with Lumbus though, is they play a heavy physical game (see Toronto's game #82, a meaningless game for Columbus). Pittsburgh will win, but will come out battered and bruised. Dubinsky will make Crosby's life hell.
Pens in 6
Western Conference
Central 1 Hawks vs WildCard 2 Perds
Season series:
Stats from the trade deadline to the end of the season:
score close 5v5 CF%: Hawks 48.99 - Perds 50.85
score close 5v5 SF%: Hawks 50.49 - Perds 50.11
score close 5v5 GF%: Hawks 50.67 - Perds 56.06
score close 5v5 SCF%: Hawks 49.30 - Perds 49.94
PP%: Hawks 15.1 - Perds 12.7
PK%: Hawks 82.6 - Perds 77.5
Hawks in 5 (sorry PK, <3 u bb)
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Central 2 Wild vs Central 3 Blues
Season series:
Stats from the trade deadline to the end of the season:
score close 5v5 CF%: Wild 55.43 - Blues 48.40
score close 5v5 SF%: Wild 56.12 - Blues 50.51
score close 5v5 GF%: Wild 49.41 - Blues 64.71
score close 5v5 SCF%: Wild 56.33 - Blues 51.53
PP%: Wild 16.1 - Blues 18.9
PK%: Wild 81.0 - Blues 87.7
How the fuck are the Blues in the playoffs? They were sellers trading Shattenkirk, lost Fabbri to injury, Stastny is hurt, FailForNail is questionable.
Wild in 5
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Pacific 1 Ducks vs WildCard 1 Flames
Season series:
Stats from the trade deadline to the end of the season:
score close 5v5 CF%: Ducks 49.75 - Flames 49.33
score close 5v5 SF%: Ducks 51.03 - Flames 47.79
score close 5v5 GF%: Ducks 65.15 - Flames 52.17
score close 5v5 SCF%: Ducks 52.16 - Flames 50.48
PP%: Ducks 17.5 - Flames 22.6
PK%: Ducks 83.9 - Flames 88.5
Flames havent won in Anaheim in like 5 years.
Ducks in 5
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Pacific 2 Oilers vs Pacific 3 Sharks
Season series:
Stats from the trade deadline to the end of the season:
score close 5v5 CF%: Oilers 49.15 - Sharks 51.72
score close 5v5 SF%: Oilers 52.05 - Sharks 51.30
score close 5v5 GF%: Oilers 60.00 - Sharks 49.30
score close 5v5 SCF%: Oilers 51.24 - Sharks 52.57
PP%: Oilers 27.1 - Sharks 14.3
PK%: Oilers 85.4 - Sharks 78.2
Unless the Sharks can get their shit together, they look like the tank is empty.
Oilers in 5
numbers taken from nhl.com, naturalstattrick.com, hockey-reference.com