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  1. #21
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  2. #22

    Sweaty Dick Punching Enthusiast

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    Yeah no shit

  3. #23
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    Is that sufficient incubation time for infection on NYE to be detected on Jan 2nd?

  4. #24
    I'm almost as bad as Mazmaz
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    it can be 1-14 days

    i think omicron hits earlier more often than later

  5. #25
    Weaboo of the House of Weave
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    Omicron in general is a superspreader event so does that make these ultraspreader?

  6. #26
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    Quote Originally Posted by NynJa View Post
    Is that sufficient incubation time for infection on NYE to be detected on Jan 2nd?
    Yes.

    But maybe you should ask your dentist.

  7. #27
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    So how do we not reach a point were everyone has been Vaxxed or has natural immunity from omicron in like a month with the way this thing is spreading?

  8. #28
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    2.5million cases a day would take 2800 days to infect everyone. For perspective there are a shit load of humans on this rock.

  9. #29
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    And even if 80% of the world are already vaxxed/immune, it'd still take 632 days to catch the rest.

  10. #30
    Weaboo of the House of Weave
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    That also assumes the virus finds 2.5m uninfected and vulnerable hosts every day for 2800 days straight which is not grounded in reality. Once everyone that regularly goes out in public gets infected, the rate of infection will decline sharply. For a while anyway.

    Think about places like India that keep having insanely wild swings. That's because almost everyone there is constantly vulnerable to infection and not many people get spared. Way different in other countries where lots of people can just shut it down.

  11. #31
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  12. #32
    Weaboo of the House of Weave
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    Covid tests can expire?

  13. #33
    Hackey Thread Lurker since 2010
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    Reagents can yes.

    Doesn't stop labs from running stuff if it's for Research Use Only projects to save some money.

    edit: It's the same reason why the mRNA vaccines need to be in ultracold storage (-80°C) else they degrade in a few hours.

  14. #34
    I'm almost as bad as Mazmaz
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mrbeansman View Post
    So how do we not reach a point were everyone has been Vaxxed or has natural immunity from omicron in like a month with the way this thing is spreading?

  15. #35
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tymon View Post
    Covid tests can expire?
    Reagents expire incredibly fast

    Sent from my SM-G996U using Tapatalk

  16. #36
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mrbeansman View Post
    So how do we not reach a point were everyone has been Vaxxed or has natural immunity from omicron in like a month with the way this thing is spreading?
    Right now ID experts feel the majority of new cases are still Delta due to relaxed mandates and less masking. Basically the unvaccinated are walking around screaming MISSION ACCOMPLISHED without actually having protected themselves.

  17. #37

    Quote Originally Posted by kuronosan View Post
    Right now ID experts feel the majority of new cases are still Delta due to relaxed mandates and less masking. Basically the unvaccinated are walking around screaming MISSION ACCOMPLISHED without actually having protected themselves.
    https://www.cbsnews.com/news/covid-o...percent-cases/
    The Omicron variant made up around 95.4% of new COVID-19 cases in the U.S. last week, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention said in an updated estimate published on Tuesday. Only two regions of the U.S. — New England and part of the Midwest — have yet to reach 90% locally. The Delta variant, which was dominant up until a few weeks ago, makes up nearly all the other cases.

  18. #38
    BG Medical's Student of Medicine
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    I do live in the Midwest.

  19. #39
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    Psychiatrist has no idea what they're talking about, heres Tom with the weather.

    I was gonna link the CDC website last night, but mr psychiatrist would tell me some shit about how they're only estimates and theyre wrong. Cause you know, their estimates of 77% and 95% being Omicron infection when it was actually south of 50% is an acceptable error, putting the decimal in the wrong spot, just a small mundane detail.

  20. #40
    Hackey Thread Lurker since 2010
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    Big gulf between active cases and new cases confirmed with sequencing. Likely that Delta's hospitalization numbers are higher for now while Omicron's infection numbers continue to climb.

    If you want a snapshot of a small but significant sample of sequenced samples, California's Department of Public Health has some neat graphs https://covid19.ca.gov/variants/

    Footnote about how many samples are sequenced taken from - https://www.cdph.ca.gov/Programs/CID...Variants.aspx#
    As of January 5, 2022, 349,078 samples have been sequenced in California. In December 2021 5% of cases in California have been sequenced, and this percent is expected to increase in coming weeks as more data becomes available. In November 2021, 24%, and October 2021, 20% of cases in California were sequenced. This is the number of sequences submitted to the data repository GISAID and is not a complete list of sequences completed to date.

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