Originally Posted by
Weltall
Rams @ Bucs: I actually like the Rams here. My underdog pick of the weekend. I feel like they have a lot of momentum on both offense and defense right now. My worst 3 betting losses of the season were all on the Bucs too, so fuck em.
Bills @ Chiefs: The Chiefs are not losing until next season.
49ers @ Packers: Might be close at half, but the Pack is going to have a comfortable win by the end. Probably a big day running the ball.
Bengals @ Titans: I am going Bengals simply because I'm going to the game and have some shit luck with my team while attending playoff games. Important factors:
1. The Titans probably have the best front 4 in the NFL. They rush the 2nd least in the league while still generating pressure/sacks. Tennessee is 2nd best against the run, edged out by the Ravens by only 2 total yards.
2. Burrows QBR falls by 36.4 when not being rushed by more than 4.
3. Bengals got banged up last weekend on defense. They lost their best run stopper to IR, but will get a few of the injured guys back from concusion and ankles. Are they 100% or going to be playing at 80%?
4. Bengals on a short week vs Titans off a needed bye. Vrabel is 8-0 as a coach with extra time going into a game (minus Week 1s)
So, can TN continue to get pressure in this game without bringing extra guys? If so, edge goes to TN. If I was not a Titans fan, I would be taking TN moneyline all day. I think Mert is wrong about why TN will lose. If they lose, it will because the offense has a terrible opening possession and fails to pick up any yards on first downs throughout the game - our offensive coordinator is trash. He needs to come out aggressive on 1st downs with bootlegs, play-action, utilize TEs etc.