It's been pouring today and will be all day tomorrow in SoCal.
https://twitter.com/VanceUlrich/stat...v9pMgmeoQ&s=19
https://twitter.com/VanceUlrich/stat..._n5l5v6eQ&s=19
Could be instrumental in a few House races and a bunch of local races.
California just absolutely shutting down whenever it rains will never not be funny to me.
https://twitter.com/CA_120/status/15...tWjpYgvrQ&s=19
More data on specific House races and the mail vs in person partisan swing
It's amazing what happens when you pander to your base.
538 forecast is finalized; 59% chance Repubs take both chambers, 84% at least the House. prolly best we can hope for is Dems hanging onto the Senate and that only because of tiebreaker Kamala. would be a decent enough result given inflation and gas prices and the natural equilibrium swing away from a sitting president's party in the midterms. still not great Bob.
Sweet baby Jesus 538 has Herschel Walker likely winning.
Georgia wyd
I'm shocked that just a couple of months ago millions of women had their rights taken away, and they decided not to go out and vote. I guess gas prices is a bigger deal than women's rights.
Inflation is the biggest issue among most voters, and blame for that kind of thing is always going to fall on the party in control.
That was bad actually becasue it didn't solve all the problems in the world.
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The I.R.A. is basically meaningless for near-term inflation reduction, despite being a good bill otherwise. That being said basically every rich country has experienced high inflation over the past year mostly due to the simple "stay home b/c COVID, then go about your lives" spending collapse/surge.
I am not looking forward to today.