I posted this link in the other thread, but here it is again.
http://sports.yahoo.com/nfl/playoffscenario
This will tell you the "what-if's" of the playoffs. What needs to happen for your team to make it, who needs to lose, and who needs to win.
FRI, DEC 25
San Diego at Tennessee (-3) - Keith Bulluck is gone for the year, Harper sucks (quoting Welt), and San Diego passes all over the damn place. I don't really understand how Vegas can give Tennessee the nod in this game. Quite odd, especially when you realize home teams generally get just a 3 point bump. Vegas thinks these teams are even on a neutral field? Am I missing something? San Diego wins. 75% of the public agrees.
SUN, DEC 27
Buffalo at Atlanta (-9) - Atlanta's pass defense is sort of shitty. Buffalo's pass defense is fantastic. Other than Turner, neither team has anyone explosive in the running game and he may not play. I actually like Buffalo in this game. I'll take the upset. 56% of the public agrees.
Kansas City at Cincinnati (-13.5) - Cinci sure has traveled a lot over the course of this week for a team playing at home. I don't know if it's affected their practice or preparation, but I can't imagine it would. After all, we're talking about practice man...practice. Cinci to win and cover. 47% of the public bets on Cinci.
Oakland at Cleveland (-3.5) - Oakland beats the good teams and plays like shit against the bad ones. I don't see why I should pick this week as a time to bump this trend. I'll take Cleveland to play well, impress their new president, and cover the spread. 40% of public bets on Cleveland.
Seattle at Green Bay (-14) - Just a newsflash if someone hasn't yet realized it...Green Bay is really good. Other than the anomaly of Big Ben chucking 500 yards last week, the defense has been solid, they have pro-bowl WRs, and a top 5-10 QB. Green Bay hammers Seattle and covers. 78% of the public agrees.
Baltimore at Pittsburgh (-2.5) - This game, for me, is the most important of the week. It has so much bearing on the wildcard picture in the AFC. If Pitt wins this game, the playoff picture become so unbelievable muddled, that we may get the most exciting week 17 in recent years. I'm all for that. Pitt to win and cover. Public bets are 50-50 at this point.
Houston at Miami (-3) - Dan Orlovsky isn't playing. Miami wins by 56. 55% of the public agrees.
Jacksonville at New England (-7.5) - Ugh, New England has been just dreadful here lately. Tom Brady had another game of throwing less than 50%. It's like that offense has just disappeared, similar to what the defense was going through earlier. I like the Pats to work out the kinks over the next couple of weeks and get a strong finishing stretch en route to the playoffs. Pats cover, 54% of public agrees.
Tampa Bay at New Orleans (-14) - So, the Saints really need this win so they can rest starters in a tough week 17 matchup. If New Orleans gets up big, I don't know if they'll rest the starters, but they're going to get up big to ensure that Minnesota has no chance at taking home field. Saints to cover, 60% of public agrees.
Carolina at NY Giants (-7) - For our prayers to be answered, NYG has to win this to make sure that Dallas doesn't see the post-season again this year. Matt Moore will be playing in the shitty conditions of Giants stadium, we'll have to see how he fairs. I like the g-men to win going away, and so does 85% of the public.
Detroit at San Francisco (-12) - When I pick against Detroit, they cover, when I pick for them, they get beat by 30. I'm going to take San Francisco -12 here, so you can pretty much bank on this being a close game. San Fran -12, 64% of the public agrees.
St. Louis at Arizona (-14) - St. Louis has sort of been playing decent football. They played Arizona competitively once already this season, and has faired well against passing teams. It's teams like Tennessee who run it down their throat that kill them. Arizona wins, Rams +14. Just 32% of public are agreeing.
NY Jets at Indianapolis (-5.5) - Kind of a small spread for Indi here. Then again, they've played pretty close games. I just feel there aren't enough Revis's to cover all the weapons that Indi has. They've shown they can win without Wayne having big games. Indi covers, 77% agrees.
Denver at Philadelphia (-7) - This game is probably bigger for Philly than it is for Denver. Denver has a week 17 gimme, and Philly needs to win this game to ensure they win the division and get a home game. Westbrook may get some PT, but I don't know if it really matters. Philly wins, Denver keeps it close. 30% of public bets on Denver.
Dallas at Washington (+7) - I really don't know what to say about Washington now. I hope the best for Zorn, seems like a ice guy. I also hope Campbell finds himself in a stable situation where he can flourish. Dallas to cover. 83% of public agrees.
MON, DEC 28
Minnesota at Chicago (+7) - Chicago is going to have to fire someone at the end of the season. They gave up a shit ton to get what has been nothing. Cutler has been the epitomy of terrible. Vikings have towin this game to keep their home game in the 2nd round of the playoffs, and ensure they play in only warm/domes throughout the playoffs. Vikings cover. 79% of public agrees.
Tired of figuring stats. I'm under .500, bet opposite of what I say and you'll be fine.