NFL Week 16: More murky, Cowboy's future or the AFC playoffs?

[Tyche]

I posted this link in the other thread, but here it is again.

http://sports.yahoo.com/nfl/playoffscenario
This will tell you the "what-if's" of the playoffs. What needs to happen for your team to make it, who needs to lose, and who needs to win.

FRI, DEC 25

San Diego at Tennessee (-3) - Keith Bulluck is gone for the year, Harper sucks (quoting Welt), and San Diego passes all over the damn place. I don't really understand how Vegas can give Tennessee the nod in this game. Quite odd, especially when you realize home teams generally get just a 3 point bump. Vegas thinks these teams are even on a neutral field? Am I missing something? San Diego wins. 75% of the public agrees.

SUN, DEC 27

Buffalo at Atlanta (-9) - Atlanta's pass defense is sort of shitty. Buffalo's pass defense is fantastic. Other than Turner, neither team has anyone explosive in the running game and he may not play. I actually like Buffalo in this game. I'll take the upset. 56% of the public agrees.

Kansas City at Cincinnati (-13.5) - Cinci sure has traveled a lot over the course of this week for a team playing at home. I don't know if it's affected their practice or preparation, but I can't imagine it would. After all, we're talking about practice man...practice. Cinci to win and cover. 47% of the public bets on Cinci.

Oakland at Cleveland (-3.5) - Oakland beats the good teams and plays like shit against the bad ones. I don't see why I should pick this week as a time to bump this trend. I'll take Cleveland to play well, impress their new president, and cover the spread. 40% of public bets on Cleveland.

Seattle at Green Bay (-14) - Just a newsflash if someone hasn't yet realized it...Green Bay is really good. Other than the anomaly of Big Ben chucking 500 yards last week, the defense has been solid, they have pro-bowl WRs, and a top 5-10 QB. Green Bay hammers Seattle and covers. 78% of the public agrees.

Baltimore at Pittsburgh (-2.5) - This game, for me, is the most important of the week. It has so much bearing on the wildcard picture in the AFC. If Pitt wins this game, the playoff picture become so unbelievable muddled, that we may get the most exciting week 17 in recent years. I'm all for that. Pitt to win and cover. Public bets are 50-50 at this point.

Houston at Miami (-3) - Dan Orlovsky isn't playing. Miami wins by 56. 55% of the public agrees.

Jacksonville at New England (-7.5) - Ugh, New England has been just dreadful here lately. Tom Brady had another game of throwing less than 50%. It's like that offense has just disappeared, similar to what the defense was going through earlier. I like the Pats to work out the kinks over the next couple of weeks and get a strong finishing stretch en route to the playoffs. Pats cover, 54% of public agrees.

Tampa Bay at New Orleans (-14) - So, the Saints really need this win so they can rest starters in a tough week 17 matchup. If New Orleans gets up big, I don't know if they'll rest the starters, but they're going to get up big to ensure that Minnesota has no chance at taking home field. Saints to cover, 60% of public agrees.

Carolina at NY Giants (-7) - For our prayers to be answered, NYG has to win this to make sure that Dallas doesn't see the post-season again this year. Matt Moore will be playing in the shitty conditions of Giants stadium, we'll have to see how he fairs. I like the g-men to win going away, and so does 85% of the public.

Detroit at San Francisco (-12) - When I pick against Detroit, they cover, when I pick for them, they get beat by 30. I'm going to take San Francisco -12 here, so you can pretty much bank on this being a close game. San Fran -12, 64% of the public agrees.

St. Louis at Arizona (-14) - St. Louis has sort of been playing decent football. They played Arizona competitively once already this season, and has faired well against passing teams. It's teams like Tennessee who run it down their throat that kill them. Arizona wins, Rams +14. Just 32% of public are agreeing.

NY Jets at Indianapolis (-5.5) - Kind of a small spread for Indi here. Then again, they've played pretty close games. I just feel there aren't enough Revis's to cover all the weapons that Indi has. They've shown they can win without Wayne having big games. Indi covers, 77% agrees.

Denver at Philadelphia (-7) - This game is probably bigger for Philly than it is for Denver. Denver has a week 17 gimme, and Philly needs to win this game to ensure they win the division and get a home game. Westbrook may get some PT, but I don't know if it really matters. Philly wins, Denver keeps it close. 30% of public bets on Denver.

Dallas at Washington (+7) - I really don't know what to say about Washington now. I hope the best for Zorn, seems like a ice guy. I also hope Campbell finds himself in a stable situation where he can flourish. Dallas to cover. 83% of public agrees.

MON, DEC 28

Minnesota at Chicago (+7) - Chicago is going to have to fire someone at the end of the season. They gave up a shit ton to get what has been nothing. Cutler has been the epitomy of terrible. Vikings have towin this game to keep their home game in the 2nd round of the playoffs, and ensure they play in only warm/domes throughout the playoffs. Vikings cover. 79% of public agrees.

Tired of figuring stats. I'm under .500, bet opposite of what I say and you'll be fine.

[Devolver]

Carolina @ New York Giants.

I couldn't be more torn about this game. But I believe my hatred for the Cowboys will win this.

[Celeras]

You obviously have no idea how the Jets operate. Now that they've all but blown their chances and tore your heart out with another brutal loss, they're going to come out and play their best game of the year in order to build hopes for next season. So they can crush them again.

Jets outright 24-17

[Stiker]

Too busy for detailed explanations so just straight picks for this post.

San Diego at Tennessee
Buffalo at Atlanta
Kansas City at Cincinnati
Oakland at Cleveland
Seattle at Green Bay
Baltimore at Pittsburgh
Houston at Miami
Jacksonville at New England
Tampa Bay at New Orleans
Carolina at New York Giants
St. Louis at Arizona
Detroit at San Francisco
Denver at Philadelphia
New York Jets at Indianapolis
Dallas at Washington
Minnesota at Chicago

BG Pick 'Em Stats
Last Week: 8-8 (awful...)
Season: 152-72

[Flarega]

Stop picking the niners.

[Moss]

I expect Atlanta to cover. So this doesn't seem like a homer pick, here is my reasoning:

-Jairus Byrd, he of 9 INTs for Buffalo, is out
-Coming off of a tough win against the Jets last week and coming home with a chance to win out and get the first back-to-back winning seasons in franchise history
-Buffalo's Run D is about as bad as our pass D, we don't need Turner to run all over them, Snelling and Norwood will be fine
-Ryan Fitzpatrick sucks

[Headspace]

-Ryan Fitzpatrick sucks

You wish.

[wipers]

Can't wait for Pittsburgh vs. Baltimore. I really don't know which Steelers team will show up. The one last week was the team I'm used to seeing (at least last year) , but the way they have been playing all year . I can't feel confident in the Steelers (even at home).

[Headspace]

Because the Steelers are terrible.

[Xajii]

Baltimore will take it.

I'm calling a Panthers upset though

[Sol-Blackguy]

If Dallas makes the fucking playoffs, the chokage will be even more epic than the 18-1 fiasco.

[Slapper]

Just saw the blind side movie, now rooting for the Ravens.

[Chun Liroy]

San Diego at Tennessee
Buffalo at Atlanta
Kansas City at Cincinnati
Oakland at Cleveland
Seattle at Green Bay
Baltimore at Pittsburgh
Houston at Miami
Jacksonville at New England
Tampa Bay at New Orleans
Carolina at New York Giants - upset pick
St. Louis at Arizona
Detroit at San Francisco
Denver at Philadelphia - pz. no playoffs4u
New York Jets at Indianapolis
Dallas at Washington
Minnesota at - lolfest

[Kyo]

Upset of the week, Panthers over Giants.

I am a HUGE panthers fan this week.

[Valisk]

San Diego at Tennessee
Buffalo at Atlanta
Kansas City at Cincinnati
Oakland at Cleveland
Seattle at Green Bay
Baltimore at Pittsburgh
Houston at Miami
Jacksonville at New England
Tampa Bay at New Orleans
Carolina at New York Giants
St. Louis at Arizona
Detroit at San Francisco
Denver at Philadelphia
New York Jets at Indianapolis
Dallas at Washington
Minnesota at Chicago

[Kyo]

The Sanchez Vs The Manning, the battle of the gods.

[Kyo]

Hotdogs Vs Sony TV's/mastercard, who will win!

[Chun Liroy]

Come to think of it... weren't there some Viking fans... where have they all gone?

[Kyo]

Niggas is skeered of the farva.

[Chun Liroy]

Why's noone make a big deal out of Favre's December slumps? Guess I can't hear them because his dick is too far down their throat.