Fantasy Football 2011: Jumping the Gun

[Moss]

Fact that he scrambles often and his speed with the ball is one of his strong traits, the odds of him getting injured are abit higher than most other QBs who don't rush as often.

For example, Jeid's 12man had Vick going at #5 in the first round, which I found pretty surprising. Not saying picking Vick is bad, if he plays anywhere close to last year he's gonna be able to carry most teams, but there are better fantasy choices that are more consistent and put up high numbers and can back that production up with more than just 1 season like Vick if someone is intent on picking a QB in the first round(Rodgers was gone at 4, and there were several good RB who were picked after Vick). It's a gamble pick for sure.

Not arguing any of that. I felt it was a worthwhile gamble since the teams are so shallow in 20 man.

[Judai]

I don't get it either, Vick was never considered injury prone before(even after the broken leg) but people seem to think he is injury prone now because he got destroyed by two Skins last year. Also, Vick was 25ppg last year avg, (300/12), so if he is even close to last year you have a huge advantage for any games he does play. It could be a gamble but the upside is pretty huge, he has 7ppg more than anyone else in the league. If you also consider that it's somewhat rare for anyone in the top ten picks to even get 18ppg, I think Vick #1 overall is pretty simple actually. Only 4 players hit 18ppg avg last year and I'm not sure any of them were picked in the top ten in my league; Rodgers, Brady, Foster and Vick, who did it with 6 less games, with the closest RB at 14.5ppg(AP). There is a risk of injury with any pick but if you consider Vick was 25ppg and the #1 overall was 14.5ppg, that's a pretty big difference. I'm sure nobody questioned picking Brady after he set a TD record but what happened to him the year after? Even if you factor in taking a second round RB at around 12ppg I think Vick more then makes up for it.

14.5ppg RB + 17ppg QB
25ppg QB + 12ppg RB

Still a potential +6ppg difference. there are plenty of serviceable RBs and as long as you draft smart I think taking Vick has an incredible upside. I could be a little jaded though as I have Vick on both of my teams. Got him in the second round once and decided to take him #4 overall because AP, Rice and Rodgers had all been taken, who are the only players I felt were viable options other then Vick at #4.

All based on standard scoring and I will add that my leagues are 12 man and not 20 but I still think Vick's upside is pretty huge and other then one freak leg break and getting sandwiched by two hard hitters last year, Vick has played in 15-16 games every year.

[Moss]

Glad someone else knows what's up. No one is denying the risk inherent with a running QB, but you don't see people shying away from Jaaaaaash Freeman. And when the upside is 25 FPPG, I think it's worth it.

[Plow]

It's cool, just wait until you realize you're picking either your #2 wr or rb 97th overall, from guys like McGahee and Sproles... and the #2 in the other position is coming AFTER that.

That's, of course, provided you're not hoping for a top 100 tight end.

Meanwhile Orton, Flacco, Fitz, and others will still be hanging around like 40-50 picks later.


Nobody's saying Vick is "injury-prone", just that he's very vulnerable to injury, and he does, in fact, wear down during the fantasy playoffs quite consistently.

[Bregor]

I think it's real simple with Vick, if you draft him early, you have to draft a competent backup a bit earlier than you would with, let's say, Rogers or Brees

I lol'd.

Just had an auto-draft run in a friendly league (my girlfriend's family.) 12-man, PPR, had the 10th pick, I pre-ranked:

Spoiler: show

Getting McCoy at #10 in PPR was highway robbery IMO, Hillis at #15 was a bit of a reach, but I have him in two other league and he is PEYTON MOTHER FUCKING HILLIS and I love him. Romo at #34, meh, but it's 6 points for passing TD. Waiting until the 4th round to take a receiver in PPR but still getting Dez and Colston was a nice surprise. Already wondering if I should start Hightower or Santonio at flex week one, I'll probably be doing that all season, lol.

[Headspace]

so much power breggies

[Bregor]

so much power breggies

http://images.bluegartr.com/customav...ar31888_17.gif
http://www.bluegartr.com/members/31888-Headspace

[Chun Liroy]

Spoiler: show

http://i54.tinypic.com/27y5wkz.png

I guess it's "ok." I wasn't paying attention to the last half of the draft, so I wound up just picking whatever I saw when I heard the 10 countdown thing because I got distracted doing something <_<

[Valisk]

The entire Washington backfield... You knew what time the draft started. You should have masturbated well before.

[Chun Liroy]

The entire Washington backfield... You knew what time the draft started. You should have masturbated well before.

I was actually farming briareus... dual boxing only white mage and proccing so yeah. I think I might have drafted Hightower, but all the rest were autopicked.

[Tweek]

pretty happy with my 2 rosters from 12 team leagues.. first year I really had any homer picks. also my first time in more than one league.. ended up with a few of the same players not sure if that will be good or bad

Spoiler: show

http://i54.tinypic.com/wipn4y.png

Spoiler: show

http://i54.tinypic.com/of0e1f.png

[Demosthenes11]

we gotta make sure we get all the second round in before the draft wed. 8 more picks, on zeb right now who i believe is fapping in the FoD thread

[Moss]

we gotta make sure we get all the second round in before the draft wed. 8 more picks, on zeb right now who i believe is fapping in the FoD thread

lmao

[Plow]

it actually doesn't matter, the draft will start wherever we leave off, but yeah it would be nice

pm'ing him now

[Demosthenes11]

lmao

there is no fap shame. i know I need a good fap before making big decisions like this. brb

[Chun Liroy]

Gdi I thought Draft was today so I ran home to get here in time...

[Demosthenes11]

fucking peyton manning. I hate being forced into a player because they fall to you -.-

neck better heal

[Dimmauk]

we gotta make sure we get all the second round in before the draft wed. 8 more picks, on zeb right now who i believe is fapping in the FoD thread

Need to shut down some threads soon? FOD, RIT, iTouchFag, threads come to mind. LOL

[Zeb]

fucking peyton manning. I hate being forced into a player because they fall to you -.-

neck better heal

I was debating him. And Rapistburger...


Sorry for taking an hour to make a pick >.>

/takes that long to clean a keyboard

[Headspace]

Is there any more power left for me to take in 5 picks?