https://twitter.com/axios/status/1529181863394279424
Stopped clock, etc, etc
https://x.com/guyelster/status/1863245749561012345
Iran doing what Russia cannot
Syrian army flees Hama without putting up much of a fight, Hayat Tahrir al-Sham takes the 4th largest city in the country a week after taking the 1st largest city in Aleppo.
roughly quadrupled their territory in a week, targeting Homs next as they push south to see if the government lines will stabilize before Damascus. the Syrian army appears to have little fight left in it, will likely take major assistance from Iran Russia et al to save Assad's regime again. harder ask this time around with Russia stagmired in Ukraine and Hezbollah licking its wounds from Israel.
Putin is already helping Assad with strategy, replicating the Russian retreat that thwarted Napoleon when winter hit.
Oops; they are further south.
https://twitter.com/sentdefender/sta...51795563966708
https://twitter.com/sentdefender/sta...59398844215640
also unconfirmed reports Assad is now out of the country
ye the rebels say they've reached the outskirts of Homs, taking it would bifurcate Assad's holdings and cut him off from the Russian bases along the coast. and it would not leave a lot of obstacles between them and Damascus. if the government lines can't stabilize there the capital could be under siege within a week. at this point i think it's up to if Iran/Russia/Hezbollah want to dump in the resources to stop the advance, the Syrian Army has degraded to the point of uselessness.
also the US-backed Kurds used the turmoil to sneakily grab the last major regime city in the country's east, gg Kurds you are the best of them.
They've entered Homs, this might be wrapped up by this weekend.
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In the outskirts of Damascus as well
HTS are currently momentarily bogged down in Homs even as they send advance units towards the capital unopposed, but the remnants of the FSA have taken Daraa and most of the Southwest, and are the ones presently within a dozen or so kilometers of Damascus. Kurds continue to purify the East of any regime presence. government lines collapsing everywhere. couldn't happen to a nicer guy. only hope a coalition governing deal can be hammered out between the principal rebel actors rather than a fresh outbreak of hell through infighting.
think it's all happening too quickly for any foreign intervention to change the tide. gg no re Iran Russian Lebanon.
oh it's over over, reportedly the Iraqi Shia militias told Iran fuck no when they tried to get them into the fight and Iran has started withdrawing troops from Syria. Russia reportedly has also pulled troops out of the south and their embassy.
mashallah may they hang Assad in the streets like the dog he is and may there be a coming of peace and not infighting"Iran is starting to evacuate its forces and military personnel because we cannot fight as an advisory and support force if Syria's army itself does not want to fight," Iranian analyst Mehdi Rahmati told the news outlet.
Assad can't still be in-country.