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  1. #161
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    20 times the diameter... is orders of magnitude larger by mass and kinetic energy. So yeah, even if those things were 100% chance to hit, you'd still *only* be talking a city-sized crater.

  2. #162
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    Quote Originally Posted by Coren View Post
    20 times the diameter... is orders of magnitude larger by mass and kinetic energy. So yeah, even if those things were 100% chance to hit, you'd still *only* be talking a city-sized crater.
    Which on the size of this planet, isn't very big. In case any one was wondering...

    Michael Bay has made me so apathetic to celestial impacts...

  3. #163
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    Quote Originally Posted by archibaldcrane View Post
    Not really sure what the active science thread is, but there's a 1 in 36,000 chance (which is high as far as these things go) that we're gonna get wrecked in 2032 by a 400-meter asteroid.

    http://www.latimes.com/world/worldno...,7912661.story
    Quote Originally Posted by Scythiroth View Post
    "Blow up the Earth" when it says 2.5 megatons of TNT? That seems quite a bit off to me. Damaging? sure, but won't end life on this planet.
    Quote Originally Posted by BadKarma View Post
    Thats a city killer though, for sure.
    Quote Originally Posted by Scythiroth View Post
    Definitely, just seemed kind of extreme to use that wording in that article though lol.
    They updated the article, it is 2,500 megatons, not 2.5

    This is much more than a city killer, but not a world killer. An airburst of about 100 megatons is enough to flatten NYC and most of the surrounding area with 2500 megatons taking out an area probably the size of Ireland. Still small on the global scale especially with how much of the planet is water, but deaths in the 100s of millions potentially. If the one that was over russia recently airbursted lower it would have been catastrophic.

  4. #164
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bweigelt View Post
    In the end these are all tiny as hell. For comparison's sake the asteroid that created the chicxulub crater that hit around the time of the extinction of the dinosaurs was at least 10 km in diameter so more than 20 times the size of this one.
    Oh and remember it wasn't the impact or force of the impact that killed them, it was the after effects which mammals and really most life was capable of surviving (not that you were arguing that). A true "global killer" would need to be absolutely massive. When I hear that term I think one of those space lasers or weapons out of scifi movies where the blast wraps around the planet. Needs more gamma ray bursts.

  5. #165
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    Quote Originally Posted by Boyiee View Post
    If the one that was over russia recently airbursted lower it would have been catastrophic.
    Nah, wasn't big enough to rank on Torino even if they had seen it coming.
    The 2013 Chelyabinsk meteor had a total kinetic energy prior to impact of about 0.4 megatons, corresponding to Torino Scale 0

  6. #166
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    Although I suppose that is about 18 times stronger than the Fat Man nuke.

  7. #167
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    And that asteroid was valued at nearly 100M megatons. This one would "only" obliterate a medium-sized state if on land or tidal waves that could scour half a continent's coastline. Bonus points if it hit a polar cap and raised the sea level by a good 10-20 feet.

  8. #168
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    Quote Originally Posted by archibaldcrane View Post
    Although I suppose that is about 18 times stronger than the Fat Man nuke.
    Yeah I know it wasn't much but its still pretty significant if you're nearby lol.

    Quote Originally Posted by Ghost_Wheel22 View Post
    And that asteroid was valued at nearly 100M megatons. This one would "only" obliterate a medium-sized state if on land or tidal waves that could scour half a continent's coastline. Bonus points if it hit a polar cap and raised the sea level by a good 10-20 feet.
    I think sea level is supposed to rise 3-6 feet within 100 years at my shore anyway, bring it. LETS REBUILD FROM SANDY

  9. #169
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    On a side note, this would be amazing to watch come to fruition, no matter which path they take.

    http://www.dailytech.com/Russia+US+E...ticle33569.htm

  10. #170
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    Quote Originally Posted by bluefan View Post
    On a side note, this would be amazing to watch come to fruition, no matter which path they take.

    http://www.dailytech.com/Russia+US+E...ticle33569.htm

    Hey if it eases the tension between Murika and the red curtain I'm all for it

  11. #171
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    Quote Originally Posted by BadKarma View Post
    Hey if it eases the tension between Murika and the red curtain I'm all for it
    Dunno. America's idea of cooperation doesn't give me much hope. Tbh

  12. #172
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    I'd actually be more concerned on exactly where said asteroid hits vs. the size. Low population/tech density area like some parts of Africa? Not so bad. Impacting someplace with, say a nuclear waste dump or a reactor or two or other toxic repositories in the impact zone? That'd be considerably more "dirty" in it's impact outside the direct damage from the hit.

  13. #173
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    Having the ocean rise 3-6 feet over a century is one thing. Having it rise 6-7 times that within a week is another.

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