20 times the diameter... is orders of magnitude larger by mass and kinetic energy. So yeah, even if those things were 100% chance to hit, you'd still *only* be talking a city-sized crater.
20 times the diameter... is orders of magnitude larger by mass and kinetic energy. So yeah, even if those things were 100% chance to hit, you'd still *only* be talking a city-sized crater.
They updated the article, it is 2,500 megatons, not 2.5
This is much more than a city killer, but not a world killer. An airburst of about 100 megatons is enough to flatten NYC and most of the surrounding area with 2500 megatons taking out an area probably the size of Ireland. Still small on the global scale especially with how much of the planet is water, but deaths in the 100s of millions potentially. If the one that was over russia recently airbursted lower it would have been catastrophic.
Oh and remember it wasn't the impact or force of the impact that killed them, it was the after effects which mammals and really most life was capable of surviving (not that you were arguing that). A true "global killer" would need to be absolutely massive. When I hear that term I think one of those space lasers or weapons out of scifi movies where the blast wraps around the planet. Needs more gamma ray bursts.
Although I suppose that is about 18 times stronger than the Fat Man nuke.
And that asteroid was valued at nearly 100M megatons. This one would "only" obliterate a medium-sized state if on land or tidal waves that could scour half a continent's coastline. Bonus points if it hit a polar cap and raised the sea level by a good 10-20 feet.
On a side note, this would be amazing to watch come to fruition, no matter which path they take.
http://www.dailytech.com/Russia+US+E...ticle33569.htm
I'd actually be more concerned on exactly where said asteroid hits vs. the size. Low population/tech density area like some parts of Africa? Not so bad. Impacting someplace with, say a nuclear waste dump or a reactor or two or other toxic repositories in the impact zone? That'd be considerably more "dirty" in it's impact outside the direct damage from the hit.
Having the ocean rise 3-6 feet over a century is one thing. Having it rise 6-7 times that within a week is another.