2013-14 NFL Week 13: DALLAS SUPER BOWL WEEK

[Xajii]

actually i just realized that with the titans and ravens being terrible there is no one to stop the patriots. GOD DAMN YOU SHITASS TOM BARDY

no we got this

[Cail]

http://espn.go.com/video/clip?id=10074256


loooool

[Headspace]

no we got this

lol

[Cail]

^

[Krandor]

http://espn.go.com/video/clip?id=10074256


loooool

Succulent Baby Lamb and Peyton making fun of Eli's mustache killed it for me.

[Mertron]

eli has two superbowls tho

mustache power

[nayaminfenrir]

http://view.break.com/2546698

[Moss]

Bill Barnwell on Gouldgate 2013

1. Marc Trestman settles for a 47-yard field goal in overtime against the Vikings and loses. It pains me to criticize Trestman, who has been such a great in-game coach this year, but he blew this one. Even worse, he's been so thoughtful in his answers to the media that we can pinpoint how he blew it. Trestman said after the game that his plan was to kick as soon as the team got in Robbie Gould's field goal range, which ended up producing a field goal attempt on second down from 47 yards out, which Gould missed.

The problem in Trestman's thinking is treating "field goal range" like a binary variable as opposed to, well, a range. You can't just treat a kicker's likelihood of success as either in-range or out-of-range, because that's not the way kickers work, regardless of how good they are. Even if you think your kicker's range is around 50 yards, which appears to be how Trestman regards Gould, your odds of successfully hitting that kick do not remain the same within that range. As Jason Lisk noted yesterday, Gould is 13-of-20 (65 percent) on kicks between 45 and 49 yards over the past five seasons, but that figure improves to 15-of-17 (88 percent) on kicks between 35 and 39 yards. Those are small samples, but it's true that all kickers see their accuracy rise notably as the kicks become shorter over the broader NFL sample.

By immediately kicking when Gould gets "in his range," Trestman could be suggesting that the probability of Gould succeeding from any spot in his range is roughly similar, which is patently false. He could alternately be suggesting that the likelihood of losing yardage (via a bad play or a penalty) or the ball altogether (via a turnover) is much greater than any improvement in Gould's probability that would come by attempting to advance the ball further, but remember the range chart in the preseason TYFNC piece and how drastically a kicker's odds of success can change by improving the field position even five yards. Trestman should have given his team two more chances at trying to convert and created an easier kick for Gould, as opposed to kicking from the moment he got inside Gould's range.

Oh look it's exactly what I was saying!

[Abandon]

that shit is common sense, you dolt

[archibaldcrane]

Oh look it's exactly what I was saying!

Are you a wizard

[Moss]

that shit is common sense, you dolt

apparently you missed the big argument in this thread, you dolt

[Krandor]

I'm not really sure I'd call it an argument, mostly just myself and others egging on Adajer to see just how far into the depths of DFF Hell he could descend.

[tyven]

remember when he said gay butler? LOL

[Moss]

remember when he said gay butler? LOL

pretty genius imo

I promise this has relevance to the thread



happens about 17 seconds in, lmao

[Bregor]

http://www.bluegartr.com/threads/119...ing-splendidly!