2016 USA Presidential election thread II: And. Here. We. Go!

[Quicklet]

Does 538 have individual projections/polls for each state or just battlegrounds? I know my state is big blue, but I'm curious

They should, but non-battleground states won't be polled much so there may not be many/any polls for those.

[Kyte]

You can click on each state and it'll give you what they think the probability is and what kind of polling has been done.

Example:

[Boyiee]

It's never taken me more than 5 minutes to vote including parking walking from my car and walking back to it after.

Also my current biggest fear, outside of getting nuked due to trump, is Facebook/social media/regular media/all people I come across if Trump wins popular but not electoral. Fuck that, do not want. Done with that shit.

[Cail]

Checked it out, my state is as expected....hillary up double digits, senate and house blue...

Also, same with me when voting...longest ive had to wait is 15 minutes tops

[Andalusian girls]

For a slightly different political slant, is there any polls or whatnot in regards to all the states with marijuana legalization up for vote this week?

all the polls in California show it passing, aggregated average of 58%, most recent poll conducted, 58%. dunno about other lesser states

[Cail]

Who else has marijuana referendums?

[Katlan]

Only 5 early voting locations in Los Angeles County, population 9.8 million.

I'll wait for Tuesday.

What Archi said. Ill just wait for Tuesday morning since employers have to give you 2 hours paid off anyways

[Andalusian girls]

Who else has marijuana referendums?

Nevada, Arizona, Massachusetts, and Maine

the laziest of google searches suggests it's favored to pass in all 5. would increase the share of the American people with legal dope from 5% to 25%.

[Quicklet]

It's never taken me more than 5 minutes to vote including parking walking from my car and walking back to it after.

Also my current biggest fear, outside of getting nuked due to trump, is Facebook/social media/regular media/all people I come across if Trump wins popular but not electoral. Fuck that, do not want. Done with that shit.

There's literally 0% chance of that happening. There are plenty of nightmare scenarios I can imagine, but that's not one of them.

[arus2001]

Yeah, cries of things being rigged and non-acceptance of the results are feeling like the most likely outcome of a Trump failure. Bush/Gore this won't be, even if people were more tempered at the time.

[mistmonster]

Who else has marijuana referendums?

Florida has medical marijuana. It's a start. I voted yes, though I seem to be immune to the effects lol

[Aerin]

New New Hampshire poll has Clinton ahead 11 points. This is not long after they had one where they were basically tied.

[Tyche]

PEC did a write-up on why his model has a >99% Clinton win probability and the differences between his model and the 538 model. Also goes into a bit of detail as to why there's so much uncertainty in the 538 model.

http://election.princeton.edu/2016/1...ty/#more-18522

[thetruepandagod]

Say hello to the next generation.
https://www.lifezette.com/polizette/...-generation-z/

[Mertron]

i guess trump is going to do really well in 2020 when those kids turn 18

[thetruepandagod]

Only 8 more years and I can do a kickstarter for my presidency.

[Tyche]

Here's the various election model forecasts.

[Vaspinne]

Only 8 more years and I can do a kickstarter for my presidency.

For who's money? Those millennials won't have any money to donate considering the baby boomers fucked up the economy and they're forced to live at home with their parents.

[Ksandra]

Say hello to the next generation.
https://www.lifezette.com/polizette/...-generation-z/

From my experience, I am going to say a good 80% of the students that voted for Trump are troll votes.

[Cail]

Only 8 more years and I can do a kickstarter for my presidency.

i can run in 2020