Did he say 7000?
https://twitter.com/adegrandpre/stat...41832990896136
Did he say 7000?
https://twitter.com/adegrandpre/stat...41832990896136
I mean long term, I'm sure more people lived than would have otherwise if the Nazis and Japanese were allowed to roll over Europe and Asia.
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Genuinely curious, would Russia (or anyone for that matter) be able to actually nuke the mainland US? I assume our missile defense is light-years ahead of what any other country has.
What are you gonna do tho? Shoot the nuke out of the sky? Are you a bad enough dude willing to fuck around and find out if that works?
I'm back in eastern Canada, so theres a near 100% chance that initial result wouldnt affect me, but I'm pretty sure everyone on the pacific coast dont want to find out.
what missile defense?
It's been a while, but iirc when I looked into the subject, my impression was.
"It's a maybe, but there is no room for failure, you must correctly intercept every missile. Every error means a mushroom cloud. Even successful intercepts can still leave radioactive material spread around large swathes.
So, do you feel like gambling?"
Yes that's literally exactly how it works.
I used to rent kayaks from the East Coast launch detection site in Cape Cod. The US missile defense defense has been a thing since the early Cold War, but for obvious reasons a lot of what goes into it is classified.
To add, detonating a nuclear warhead is not just a matter of having the missile hit the target, there's a lot that has to go into the process of generating a nuclear explosion that has to happen before one gets the massive explosion people associate with them. Intercepting missiles is incredibly complicated, but taking it down before the process has completed turns into more of a local radiation hazard then an extinction level event.
As opposed to what exactly, doing nothing and letting them hit their targets unimpeded?
Russia and China could definitely hit mainland US. UK and France could definitely do it too if there was some bizarre reason for them to want to nuke us. North Korea *may* be able to hit the west coast but leaning towards no. It’s really Russia and China having nuclear submarines that gives them their biggest advantage. With enough warning missiles could be intercepted but the ones being fired from subs give much less reaction time. I’d prefer to not have to find out.
I'm pretty sure that the nuclear states in the security council all have guaranteed second strike capabilities for strategic level weapons through their subs.
And most have jets on alert status that can get up into the air with a payload between the window of detection but before the first strike hits.
To Forte. I understand how you feel about stopping Russia but a preemptive strike is a bad idea. You don't want this:
A lot of shit going through this thread but I just wanna say stop thinking there's gonna be some revolution if things for the Russian people get bad enough. The idea of the people of Russia or China actually overthrowing their Despotic regimes is fucking absurd.
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There is already intensive autocratic crackdowns. The sanctions are going to have to make things significantly worse before resentment culminates in insurrection.
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the russian populous is also historically a little more used to having absolutely nothing in the way of luxury
To harken back to the earlier question about missile defense, our odds of taking out an ICBM are at best 50%. Russia has a lot more than twice the number of ICBMs it would need to glass us.
Japan barely even surrendered.
China gonna swoop in unscathed after Europe America and Russia are gone.
Just as planned.