2020 General Election II: How About This Kanye Fella

[6souls]

https://www.bbc.com/news/technology-54374710

While TikTok has banned official campaign ads, unofficial campaigns are popping up linking back to the official, but not giving any clear ties if they're funded by them or not.

President Trump may be threatening to shut TikTok's US operations and Joe Biden's campaign squad have effectively been barred from using the video-sharing app - but that hasn't stopped their fans using it to connect with young voters.

The Conservative Hype House, a group account for a number of right-wing content creators, has been posting videos featuring an identifying code assigned by the official Trump campaign - "CHH" - that allows users to join its text-alert service.

And about six days ago, a rival Democrat group began promoting Mr Biden's rival SMS updates.

The Conservative Hype House is one of the biggest political accounts on the app, with 1.5 million followers.

And during the past month, several of its videos have urged users to download the Official Trump 2020 App, directing them to a link in the channel's biography rather than directly to Apple or Google's app stores.

Two of them alone, posted in mid-September, mocking Mr Biden, have amassed more than 300,000 views and 50,000 "likes".

Asked why the Democrat Hype House was not urging TikTok users to text Mr Biden's campaign, one member replied: "This isn't a very good answer but I think that it just never really occurred to us."

And within a day it had posted a video directing its almost 152,000 followers to do just that - and download the campaign app.

One theory is the information is being used to identify which campaign messages drive the most texts and downloads.

"This type of profiling helps campaigns know what to say to each individual voter," long-time digital marketer Seth Cargiuolo says, "what topics to email, call, and text about, what issues are important to that voter, what campaign surrogate voices may resonate with that voter, what kind of merchandise to offer to them, as well as model their behavior and score their likelihood of showing up to vote."

Both of the unofficial campaigns are seeing a higher engagement with users versus other forms of social media.

[6souls]

https://twitter.com/natashakorecki/s...14226064961537
https://twitter.com/sgallman/status/1313210981904982016

https://twitter.com/GeoffRBennett/st...02603923419136

[Tyrath]

Fuck the moderator though eh? They should space them even further apart too.

[Melena]

Fuck the moderator though eh? They should space them even further apart too.

You would have thought Pence would be for more spacing and barriers being that he's debating a woman this time and mother can't be there to sit next to him to keep the impure thoughts away.

[Guyverarmor]

You would have thought Pence would be for more spacing and barriers being that he's debating a woman this time and mother can't be there to sit next to him to keep the impure thoughts away.

He'll have a shock collar on and mother will be watching. When he makes eye contact with Kamala he will experience a shock.

[Salodin]

https://twitter.com/PpollingNumbers/...707866113?s=19

Even rasmussen says trump is losing. Who was it that said they listen to rasmussen cause they seem most on point? Lol

Sent from my SM-G975U using Tapatalk

[Yabby]

2016 all over again. I don't care how wide these polls get.

[kuronosan]

Like I said, I'll believe it when Biden is sworn in.

[Meresgi]

2016 all over again. I don't care how wide these polls get.

Trump could be dead with a 0% on polls since he's in a coffin and I still wouldn't trust the polls or for 2020 to not raise him from the dead. People already comparing him to Jesus because he was in hospital for 3 days and NOW LORD HE HAS RISEN!!!

[archibaldcrane]

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/st...020848128?s=19

[Dimmauk]

Trump could be dead with a 0% on polls since he's in a coffin and I still wouldn't trust the polls or for 2020 to not raise him from the dead. People already comparing him to Jesus because he was in hospital for 3 days and NOW LORD HE HAS RISEN!!!

Republicans elected a dead pimp, so yeah

[Andalusian girls]

2016 all over again. I don't care how wide these polls get.

Clinton was up by 5.1% on October 7th 2016, Biden is near doubling her lead.

i know cynicism has become a stand-in for wisdom, and if you all need to protect yourselves emotionally with low expectations by all means, but from a rational stand-point Biden is the significant favorite and considerably more likely to win than Hillary was.

[archibaldcrane]

It's not just about margin, it's that Biden is running 4-5 points ahead of Clinton in vote share. Far fewer undecideds/3rd party voters.

[Sirious]

All polls do is convince people they don't need to vote cause "my guy" is already winning. And then they lose.

The perfect crime, lie your opponent up 20 points to make his voters (more) apathetic.

[Andalusian girls]

It's not just about margin, it's that Biden is running 4-5 points ahead of Clinton in vote share. Far fewer undecideds/3rd party voters.

+ where he's winning. he's polling far better than she did in the Michigan / Wisconsin / Pennsylvania bloc that cost her the election by 75,000 votes even as she ran up the popular vote score in California et al.

[archibaldcrane]

Not really, Hillary's 2016 Wisconsin RCP average was +6.5 on election day - Biden is +5.5 currently

He is doing better than her by margin in Michigan and Pennsylvania though, you're right.

[Dimmauk]

All polls do is convince people they don't need to vote cause "my guy" is already winning. And then they lose.

The perfect crime, lie your opponent up 20 points to make his voters (more) apathetic.

[Andalusian girls]

smh classic Archi misrepresenting the data

by 538's aggregated polling
Biden is +6.9 in Wisconsin vs Clinton's +5.9, Michigan +7.7% vs +4.1%, Pennsylvania +6.9% vs +3.9%

the polling in those states would have to be significantly more errant than they were in 2016, with a smaller uncertainty share of third party/undecided voters, to see Trump pull off the upset again by his 75,000 vote margin

[Xno Kappa]

Wonder when someone is going to drop the audio/video of Trumpito dropping the n word.

[Lucavi]

2016 all over again. I don't care how wide these polls get.

These polls could be as wide as Wilford Brimley's ass and I still wouldn't take stock in them. People are gonna vote the same way they voted in 2016. People who didn't vote then will find yet another excuse not to vote now. Humans are mentally lazy, cyclical and wholly incapable of change on a macro scale.