Minnesota Vikings at Philadelphia Eagles (-6.5) - Vikings looked terrible. Philly looked good, but the tea leaves suggest they came back to Earth a bit, especially in that 2nd half. I'm not buying that. Philly faced a great Patriots D with a great defensive HC. Philly wins and covers. Vikings fan in shambles.
Green Bay Packers at Atlanta Falcons (+1.5) - Seems like a low line on an overreaction to ATL vs Panthers, even though the game was still a slog. They did absolutely nothing on offense for most of that game. Love looked very good against a Bears team everyone thought would be serviceable. GB wins and covers.
Chicago Bears at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-2.5) - Fields only targeted DJ Moore twice. He looked shaken. I don't expect Fields to put out that kind of garbage again and I see a bounce back. Bears win outright.
Seattle Seahawks at Detroit Lions (-5.5) - Seattle looked absolutely awful. I had them in the playoffs. Absolutely not now. I'm gonna overreact here because the corpse of Matthew Stafford destroyed them. Lions win and cover.
Las Vegas Raiders at Buffalo Bills (-9.5) - Buffalo is a good football team, not a great one. Since losing Daboll, Josh Allen looking more like Carson Wentz than peak Cam Newton. Still, it's the Raiders. Bills win, cover. Allen has a monster game and still has at least 1 turnover.
Los Angeles Chargers at Tennessee Titans (+3) - Titans are going to be a much better team than most expect this year. Tannehill played atrocious, but they were refball away from a win @New Orleans, a team most expect to be in the playoffs. Mike Vrabel is a top 5 coach in this league. He has continued to win through tons of injuries and rosters that are, at best, average. They're going to keep this close, and I believe pull off the upset. Titans outright.
Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans (+1) - I do believe Anthony Richardson is for real and will continue to develop into a very good QB for Indy. The Texans defense is legit though. They played Baltimore much better than they final score would indicate. Houston wins outright.
Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals (-3) - Zay Flowers looked great against a good Texans defense. Lamar gonna Lamar and can take a game over at any time. Yet, it hasn't even been a game and half of the Ravens team is already dead. Bengals going to look for a bounceback at home to prevent falling 2.5 games behind Baltimore after only 2 games. Cinci wins and covers.
Kansas City Chiefs at Jacksonville Jaguars (+3.5) - Jones is back. Kelce may play. Jags defense wasn't impressive. KC travels to Jacksonville and puts up 40. KC wins and covers.
San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Rams (+7.5) - SF defense has a way of humbling just about everyone. LA Rams playing at home will probably be playing a road crowd. SF wins and covers.
New York Giants at Arizona Cardinals (+6) - Arizona is still bad. Brian Daboll is still a very good coach and Daniel Jones, Danny Pennies, should be able to produce against this defense. Six is too low. G-Men win and cover.
New York Jets at Dallas Cowboys (-9.5) - This game is going to be unwatchable. I mean, it'll be good, close, but these two defenses aren't going to allow shit. Jets D is more than equipped to keep this game close and Zack Wilson will have a full week of practice with the 1's. Dallas wins, Jets cover.
Washington Commanders at Denver Broncos (-3.5) - Denver offense looked very good...4th in EPA last week. They only had SIX drives the entire game. SIX. What the fuck? They still had the lead late in the 4th quarter. Broncos win and cover.
Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots (+3) - Did you know that Tua's full name is Tuanigamanuolepola Donny Tagovailoa? Donny! Donny Dimes. Miami looked like the best team in the AFC last week and it isn't particularly close. Tua is 4-0 against Belichick. And Miami owes them after a late season loss last year. Those short motions that's sending Tyreek running at the snap and blowing past a DB that doesn't have time to touch him is patently unfair. Not sure how you stop that. If anyone can find a way though, it's the Patriots,who pride themselves on taking away what you do best. That defense is very very good. I expected Miami to lose last week and they pulled out an incredible win. This week, Belichick finally gets his win versus Tua. Patriots outright.
New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers (+3) - Saints won a game they didn't deserve to win. Still, Derek Carr looked good and Tennessee is a very well coached team that plays tough. Panthers, well, they looked awful and now they've hit the injury big and are down some offensive linemen. Saints win and cover.
Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers (+2.5) - Browns looks amazing against a Bengals team that many had winning the superbowl, including myself. Steelers looked like a high school JV team playing the varsity state champs. I think the real potential of both the teams is a lot closer than what last week may indicate. Pitt playing at home on Monday Night? I want that. Pitt wins outright.
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