2024 NFL Wildcard Weekend: never count out touchdown bill?

[Mertron]

the quest to 13-0 begins

lines are accurate as i post this

browns -2
chiefs -4.5
steelers +10 (bills win)
packers +7 (cowboys win)
rams +3 (rams win)
eagles -3 (go fuck yourselves)

[Mertron]

anyway go birds

[Tyche]

One upset? Weak.

[Mertron]

i have 3 favorites and 3 underdogs

perfectly balanced, as all things should be

[Weltall]

I welcome Najee Harris. Bills will serve his ass on a platter

In fact, I went to an Italian deli today and the guy at the counter had a Warren jersey on. Spent 20 minutes with him discussing how shit Najee Harris is.

Edit: at one point the guy said “I’d love to see them both on the field at the same time” and at that point I just asked for my Spicy Italian and left.

[Weltall]

Also all the big heads are saying it’s all but confirmed - Jerod Mayo seems to be the Pats choice as the next head coach.

[Mertron]

Also all the big heads are saying it’s all but confirmed - Jerod Mayo seems to be the Pats choice as the next head coach.

at least he should be: the report is they had a succession plan in his contract if bill stepped down. they could always break it and get sued

[Weltall]

The Jags, Panthers, Bears, and Vikings will all host “home” 2024 games in London and Munich.

[Xno Kappa]

Tell me how to feel Melena

https://twitter.com/JFowlerESPN/stat...808990119?s=20

[Cail]

Go banana

[kuronosan]

the quest to 13-0 begins

lines are accurate as i post this

browns -2
chiefs -4.5
steelers +10 (bills win)
packers +7 (cowboys win)
rams +3 (rams win)
eagles -3 (go fuck yourselves)

Browns > Texans: if Flacco turns things up I can see them winning closely otherwise it'd be nice to see Stroud pull the Texans into the Divisional.
Result: Texans with the upset (x)

Chiefs > Fins: Sorry Tyche. Our guys trained outside in freezing weather today. I see the Dolphins winning if Chiefs suffer some injuries or our stone hands or penalty magnets show up and cause turnovers.
Result: Chiefs (✓)

Steelers hopefully beat the Bills but I see the Bills pulling through to the Divisional here.

Result: Bills (✓)

Boys > Packers: If Dak Prescoff shows up, I see Packers winning thanks to Love. Otherwise if it's Presgod this should be a slam dunk. Packers have been doing well in the latter half.
Result: Packers with a not surprising upset (x)

Lions > Rams: nah sorry Rams won't defraud these folks. Leave that up to the higher seeds.
Result: Lions (✓)

Eagles > Bucs: I'd be surprised if the Bucs get past the wild card against the Eagles but it would be a very Eagles 2023 season for them to be eliminated early.
Result: Bucs (x)

[Tyche]

I actually did research. Saturday game breakdown...ROAD TEAM SATURDAY.

Cleveland @ Houston - big question right now is the status of Denzel Ward who limped off the practice field. As of now, he's listed as questionable but seems to lean more toward probable if that were still a designation. Delpit is out, but less of a loss with great play from both Hickman and Bell. Hopkins and Tillman are also out.

On the Houston side, Robert Woods returned to practice among with Dolphins legend Laremy Tunsil, Louisville legend Sheldon Rankins, and Shaq Mason. Greenard will also be back. I'd be remissed to not mention Slowik. While not injured, at least 4 teams have requested interviews and the Titans seem to be pursuing hard. He could be distracted.

While Stroud has had a fantastic rookie season, he has really struggled against man formations and the Browns run the third highest rate of man defense in the NFL. Stroud's line has afforded him one of the longest times to throw in the league, and when he's pressured, his stats drop precipitously.

These teams played a few weeks ago and Cleveland left Houston with a win. But Stroud didn't play and Case Kennum and Davis Mills split snaps. It was not as close as the final score (14 point win) suggests, but Texans were missing key staters on both sides of the ball including Will Anderson and Blake Cashman. The game should be closer but I don't think Stroud is going to perform very well as a rookie QB in the playoffs facing a defensive scheme he has struggled against. I'll take Cleveland in a 3 point win.

Miami @ Kansas City - For the first time in several weeks, Miami should have 9 of 11 offensive starters playing (missing the 2 o-linemen that are on IR). This is an offense that should be able to move the ball consistently. KC struggle against 21-personnel, which is where Miami butters its bread. Miami will also bring back Devon Achane and Rob Hunt on offense, who missed the Germany game against KC back in November. It feels like missing Achane tearing up the outside zone rushes really hurt Miami in that contest. Waddle will also be back (he only played 1 drive before exiting with injury in Germany). Miami should be able to put up some points on offense, especially with their offensive line semi-healthy and Achane and Mostert pounding a terrible Chief's rush defense.

But on the other side you have playoff Mahomes at home against a battered Miami defense that just signed edge rushers from the paleolithic period. Miami may also be without Jevon Holland, who plays the most important position in this defense and is defensive play caller. But it's a defense that stops the run and stops it well. Last week, Cook had a total of 36 yards and under 3 ypc.

Despite all the injuries that have absolutely battered this Miami defense, they've only allowed more than 20 offensive points against them twice in the last 10 games and in one of those games, Tennessee scored 15 points in the final 3 minutes to get over that hump. Even against Buffalo where Miami was still very injured, the Bills were held to 14 offensive points and 7 of those points came on a wild deflection where the ball almost touched the moon and it just happened to come down at the back of the end zone and caught on tip-toes. I'm not sure the weather will allow the Chiefs to completely make advantage of Miami's missing defensive players.

[archibaldcrane]

PFF season awards are out: https://www.pff.com/news/nfl-2023-pf...-myles-garrett

Hint: Breakout player of the year is also the NFC's back to back player of the week

[Weltall]

Chiefs > Phins: Chiefs by 1.1
Bills > Steelers: The Steelers are trash
Texans = Browns: Completely torn on this one, each team is a bye week the following weekend
Cowboys > Packers: Packers defense is horrific
Eagles > Bucs: Baker is hurt. Bucs played well in the middle of the season, not so much down the stretch. Eagles have too much better talent, despite poor coaching
Lions > Rams: I'll take the home team with a gun to my head. Lions O line is great and Rams O line sucks is the difference. Surprise level 0% if the Rams win

[Tyche]

1 upset for Mert. 0 upsets for Kuro. 0 upsets for Welt.

Y'all have weak souls. Y'all gonna get Najee Harris'd. Can't wait to confirmation bias some stats in for the Pitt @ Buffalo match to show how elite Harris is and how he's gonna go for 200 yards in 15 inches of snow.

[Melena]

Tell me how to feel Melena

https://twitter.com/JFowlerESPN/stat...808990119?s=20

Ehh, could do much worse, could probably do much better.

[Weltall]

Robert Saleh said he was "completely shocked Tennessee made him available". One of the worst NFL coaches of all-time, across any position. The most disliked by his players that has ever been in TN, at minimum. Saleh is clueless as a head coach and will be back to DC once Rodgers is done:

https://twitter.com/TheJetPress/stat...775684943?s=20

[Melena]

Chiefs, Bills, Browns all win for AFC Wild Card round

Lions, Bucs, and Green Bay win for the NFC Wild Card round

[Weltall]

The Bucs winning would cause the most amazing amount of chaos, but we aren't that lucky.

[Tyche]

Underdogs are batting .433 SU in the last 5 playoffs in the wildcard round and of the 24 games the 4 of y'all picked, you lot have picked a total of 2 upsets.