Cursed Haidate -1

[divisortheory]

Long term I'm at like 5%. I think 5% is a better number.
6/160 arhat items and counting!

I think Aurik is right, there is no way it's 10%.

Yes I've also made 2 in a row (quite often actually) but when I do i'll usually NQ the next 30-40 so I just stop after a couple.

I don't think it's 10% because like 75% of the time when I do a run of 12, i will go 0/12.

Like I said, we're having totally different results then. I honestly don't even remember the last time I didn't HQ at least one thing from a batch of 15. usually I get 2 HQs. Sometimes 3. I'm not talking about a sample of 20-30 synths, this is more like over the past 200-300 synths I've done. The last time I had a bad streak was when I went 0/70, and that was about 6 months ago.

I will say this though. That time I went 0/70, strangely enough was right around the time I thought I had hit on the "optimal conditions" for the moneymakers I was using. I locked in on a single day of the week and direction, and I would only synth under those conditions. After I went 0/70 I broke away from this, and now I always synth facing the same direction, but under completely random day/moon. I'm not saying this is the reason for my results, just an observation I made which may or may not be related.

[Moochi]

I can't speak for tier1 cause I don't do alot of them but I've been keeping track of my SH synths, tier2 of course. I've made 238 and HQd 25.9%, lost 8.8% and NQd 65.3%

[Raineer]

Yeah I always face the same direction but I also do random day/moon (and i'm sure the direction doesn't matter either, but hey it's superstition)

If you average 2/15 HQ1's then you can just go to hell lmao, if I averaged that i'd be fucking rich...if it wasn't for subligar sometimes i feel like I wouldn't have shit at all, now there's a JP selling Prism Capes at cost of synthing 12. Same with mahatma slops, arhat gi, etc... He's rank 10 so I doubt he's a gilfarmer either, I can't believe i'm actually whining that CC100 is a losing craft on Siren atm but there's like 2-3 recipes that even work now if you hit the "suggested" 1/12, 1/4, 1/2 and those are sure to be saturated soon.

[divisortheory]

Another thing that may play in here (just thought of this) is that I rarely do more than 15 synths per real life day. Sometimes I only do 15 per 3-4 days even. SE has been known to add "fatigue" type results to nearly everything in the game. Fishing and HELM (have to zone etc) for example. Maybe the more you start crafting in a certain time frame, your results get worse. And the fact that I sometimes take 5-6 day breaks from crafting anything means when I come back my results are just better. Who knows, I know that's kinda off the wall, but there has to be something that explains our differences. If I was 5% on tier 1 synths I'd be broke as hell.

[Septimus]

Another thing that may play in here (just thought of this) is that I rarely do more than 15 synths per real life day. Sometimes I only do 15 per 3-4 days even. SE has been known to add "fatigue" type results to nearly everything in the game. Fishing and HELM (have to zone etc) for example. Maybe the more you start crafting in a certain time frame, your results get worse. And the fact that I sometimes take 5-6 day breaks from crafting anything means when I come back my results are just better. Who knows, I know that's kinda off the wall, but there has to be something that explains our differences. If I was 5% on tier 1 synths I'd be broke as hell.

I generally bulk craft when I cook for profit, I generally will do 3 to 5 stacks of synths. I've found that if I am having a good crafting day, most of the time it will start off with very few HQ synths at the start, but pick up on the second or third stack. (But that's a big "if" on the good crafting day front.)