HQ Results From Two Batches: Moon Phase Synopsis

[SephYuyX]

I hold the secret to crafting.

Luck.

[Rasengan]

I hold the secret to crafting.

Luck.

I've known that fact for a long time. Sadly, it's not on my side.

[Bukkorosu]

I hold the secret to crafting.

Luck.

I've known that fact for a long time. Sadly, it's not on my side.

Like the dark side of the force it's something I've tried to master for years and still suck at...

[Talus]

The sample size is pretty small to draw any realistic conclusions from it. If you could replicate the results in batches of 30+ synths per moonphase/conditions than maybe you could say, "the data do indicate that crafting facing x direction during y moonphase is most likely to provide the most HQs."

[Ksandra]

OK didn't the dev team already say that facing direction didn't matter? >.>; OR at least they laughed at the person who asked in a "omg our players are so silly" kinda way.

This is actually a great idea though. It was always my believe full moon = hq and new moon = skill ups. I know when fishing this does seem to work. I remember way back in the day of fishing madness you got more carps during full and definitely I got most of my skills during new. I'm guessing this is what started the idea it would apply to other crafts maybe?

Maybe good to do tons of tests on low lvl synths (because of the cost), and have people start recording their results. Probably would have to be the same item though. Would be nice to get a good idea as it seems like no one ever seemed to do tests just "what seems to work for me".

Don't my test results support that New moon = more HQ?

No, you do not have enough individual tests to conclude that. You would need thousands of tests run over several moon phases to come up with anything conclusive. There is a phenomenon known as "Regression to the Mean"- one good or bad crafting session very may well be a statistical anomaly and you will get closer to normal results the next time you try to synth under those conditions. There could be other confounding factors that could account for changes in success. (For example; strength of the crystal compared to the day of the week.)

What sept said. Becuase there are so many factors that could effect it, you'd have to do tons and tons of tests to be able to say your theory is valid. You didn't do nearly enough to verify which phase is better for hq if at all.

If this was to be tested I'd suggest picking a cheap lowlvl synth. Synth them 200 times on lightsday full and 200 times lightsday new. Repeate this process for a month and post results and averages. Takes a lot to do a test like this, but it'd be more valid then the few synths you did. Not saying your test is bad, just not very conclusive.

[Manako]

I synth Sushi to make money, and grow my own rice. I don't really pay much mind to what day/moon phase I synth on, just whenever the rice is ready I synth. Typically I make 6-6.5 stacks of ingredients per session (72-78 synths). 2 times ago I happened to synth on a full moon and got 2-3 HQs, and last time it happened to be new moon and I did 2 tier 2 Hqs, and a bunch of HQ 1s.

I think it is highly luck based, perhaps with new moon/darksday having some effect on HQ. If I really cared about HQ I would make an effort to synth on new moons, it can't hurt any. But seeing the amount you lose on NQ vs. the amount you gain on HQ isn't monumentally different for cooking(I don't think I lose money on any NQ that I make) I can't be bothered to wait for the right day.