
Originally Posted by
aurik
Newsflash, the huge amount of deflation we're still seeing is heavily influenced by the fact that the RMT are sucking in upwards of 30m per day and not selling anywhere near that much.
Remember last Christmas? More importantly, remember last October? The market practically died for no discernable reason for 2-3 months solid, while the RMT siphoned off a huge amount of excess gil.
I don't think that's exactly correct. It suggests that RMT are hording gil and buyers have stopped buying, which doesn't make sense given that gil prices aren't dropping.
Rather, I think that last Winter inflation was the product of at least one subsequently-patched gil duping exploit. Gil was available on a magnitude far in excess of a measly few hundred million a day. The continued deflation is a result of the wholesale elimination of gil from banned accounts (didn't SE say they'd elimited hundred of billions of gil from the servers earlier this year?) Since that time, the remaining wealth has been slowly redistributing itself resulting in a steady, measured deflation.
I anticipate more inflation over the next 2 months as players come into a bit more pocket change from the holdiays, but nothing close to resembling last year's debacle.