People who argue with Aurik about crafting make me giggle. If you want to disprove him, put a significant test with results, otherwise since he isn't proven wrong much (can't remember a time about crafting), I'd stick with what he has to say.
People who argue with Aurik about crafting make me giggle. If you want to disprove him, put a significant test with results, otherwise since he isn't proven wrong much (can't remember a time about crafting), I'd stick with what he has to say.
(necroing, sorry)
Well if you read their comment, they're not adamant on most of their conclusions. They admit themselves the results they got aren't conclusive, saying "we can probably believe that" etc.Regarding the moon phase trial...well all of their trials. Their data was good, but from a statistics point of view their conclusions weren't well supported. For example, their "fullmoon=break/hq increase" was based on a break rate of 7% (rather than the expected 5%) and 48% (rather than the expected 45%) over 300 samples.
Definitely, the sample size is a little small.Unfortunately, these deviations fall below a reasonable significance threshold, meaning that there's a reasonable chance it was just random bad luck, rather than solid evidence of a boost.
But then again, you could say the same thing about the Moghancement testing.
If anything, the guide has the merit to have tried and experiemneted, most of the official guides don't even mention the topic at all.