Basic scenario we all know: Super Bowl grid pool of 10 squares by 10 squares with the numbers 0-9 on each axis randomly selected. For this question, I am talking about before the numbers for the axes are even drawn, so just a 10 x 10 square pool. What is the expected value of your bet net of your initial cash outlay?
For simplicity, assume it is $5 per square for a total pot for $500.
My contention is that, regardless of how many squares you buy, the net expected value is zero; an example of buying one ticket:
-5 + 500*(1/100) = 0
One of my coworkers vehemently disagrees saying it is:
-5*(99/100) + 500*(1/100) = 0.05
I think he is wrong, please halp!
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