Points scored each week: 7, 31, 23, 23 (OT), 17, 17, 45, 17, 18, 17, 16. Throw out that 45-10 win over Chicago, and their 2009 point differential is 186-164. Even the Football Outsiders guys are concerned: In their weighted DVOA rankings, the Bengals finished just 15th this week.
Cincy's underlying problem: They haven't had a big-play guy since losing Chris Henry for the season (and he wasn't exactly Randy Moss). You'd think it's Ochocinco, but really,
he's more of a possession guy at this point: 773 yards, 50 catches, five TDs, only two 40-plus catches all year. And Ced Benson hasn't had a run longer than 28 yards. They're grinding everything out. At some point, they'll have to
play from behind when it matters and/or make one or two home run plays in a high-scoring game … and there's no evidence they can do either.