
Originally Posted by
Max™
Uh, the number you gave certainly isn't the average per WS, which is important when comparing the average damage of two different WSes, one would think.
The total collection of hits approaches a 95% accuracy level if sorted per hit, 1st hit: 95%, second hit: 95%, third hit: 95%, but if you sort by WSes... like, the game does when you use a WS, the accuracy per WS will still cap out at 66%.
If you have a collection of an arbitrarily large number of attempted hits, with a 95% accuracy level for them all, the odds of a random sample of 8 attempts being hits which landed is still 66%.
The odds of flipping a coin 100 times, and getting 100 heads in a row is like (1/2)^100, like thirty zeros after the decimal point.
If I had just gotten 99 heads in a row, the likelihood of getting heads with the next flip is 1/2, the coin doesn't know or care about those other tosses, they only matter when I take the probability of finding the entire set as a whole, each toss of a fair coin will still land heads 1/2 the time.