I did the mire, took a very long time but was predictable. Use the Weather NPC on the second floor of the fountain area in Whitegate (south of Sanction NPC), he will check Caedarva for you so you don't waste your time.
2 Slimes by the Karakul otw to Nashmau from Azouph SP, 2 more slimes West and North from there otw to Arrapago; mind the chigoes.
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