Save, like, three games on the week, this week is filled with some pretty mediocre matchups. Let's break em down...
ATS: 15-14-1
Tennessee at NY Giants (-3) - Interesting game between two teams who, in two weeks, seemed like different teams. In week 2, the G-men had a defensive meltdown, and Tennessee melted down because of Pitt's defense. I don't think either team is going to look as bad as they did last week, nor as good as the week prior. I think I would probably like Tennessee in the game if it were anywhere else outside of the New Meadowlands, however, it's not. I'll take NYG to cover.
Pittsburgh at Tampa Bay (+2.5) - How bad is a 2-0 Tampa team? Well, bad enough to be underdogs to a team that is starting their 17th string QB. I believe I said a looooooong time ago back in the preseason thread that I thought that Pitt would have the league's best defense this year. I was promptly laughed at. Who's laughing now fuckers? Pitt to cover easily.
Cincinnati at Carolina (+3) - Cinci is 1-1, and another team who turned a complete 180 in their second game. After getting destroyed by the Patriots, the team decided to play defense and make Joe Flacco look like a JV QB. What the hell are they going to do to Pickle? Unfortunately for headspace, for the first time this season, I'm going to pick Cinci to win and cover. I guess that means they lose. Cinci -3.
Cleveland at Baltimore (-10.5) - Baltimore has made lethargy look exciting on offense. It's sad. Flacco just can't seem to get adjusted to his new weapons on offense, despite the defense playing very well. This is a great game to bounce back and assert themselves as contenders in the division. It also provides a great chance for Flacco to hit his stride. Still, 10.5 points is a big number for a team that has shown an inability to score points. I'll take Baltimore to win, and Cleveland +10.5.
Dallas at Houston (-2.5) - Ah, the first of a few not-so-mediocre games slated. Dallas, down 0-2 and last in the division, with superbowl hopes, are going against possibly the hottest team in the NFL right now. Houston did what Dallas couldn't do last week, and that's go into Washington and pull out a close win. Still, Dallas' desperation is an intriguing factor in this game. I really don't know if Houston is going to match the Dallas intensity in this game. Houston loses their first game.
San Francisco at Kansas City (+3) - As predicted by me, San Francisco covered the spread last week against the Saints. Alex Smith gained a lot of confidence in himself while against a very aggressive NO defense. The only worry I have about San Fran is their constant need of Frank Gore. I can't imagine him getting through 16 games with the workload that he's had. He literally had to take himself out of the game last week during a redzone score. Regardless, after everyone started hopping off the niners bandwagon, I stayed on. I will continue to stay on, as in that putrid division, 8 wins should lay claim to the championship. Niners to cover.
Detroit at Minnesota (-11) - I almost feel terrible for Detroit. They've played two teams very very close, only to come out on the short end. Without Stafford, I don't know if this team has the confidence it once had. I really like Detroit, and I think they;'re showing improvements, but now they're facing a desperate Minnesota team looking to right the ship. Minnesota wins here and covers the huge number.
Buffalo at New England (-14.5) - Well, eh, I thought Buffalo had a good secondary, guess I was wrong. The greatest QB ever to play the position just ripped them apart last week. I can't imagine that Tom Brady would have much of a problem either. With that said, we're looking at a 14.5 point spread in an AFC East game, and those kind of beatdowns just don't happen too often. I love the Patsies in this game, but maybe by 10. Maybe Fitz get's the offense moving a bit.
Atlanta at New Orleans (-3.5) - Wow, the defending superbowl champs only a 3.5 point favorite at home. Here's how good the Pitt defense is...Atlanta comes into the first week, healthy, and put up a measly 9 points. They then go into week 2, lose their RB, and put up 41. I think Atlanta is a very good team, but I don't know how good. Turner should be healthy (correct me if I'm wrong), but I can't see New Orleans losing this home game. New Orleans to win and cover.
Washington at St. Louis (+3.5) - Like Detroit, St. Louis has been surprisingly competitive in their outings. Bradford has looked pretty damn good and up to speed for a rookie QB two games into the season. I really see St. Louis headed in the right direction if they can finally knock that injury bug. St. Louis and Bradford get their first NFL win at home.
Philadelphia at Jacksonville (+2.5) - Vick has been just beasting it out on the field over the past couple of weeks. Despite not starting a game, Vick has became on of the NFLs most efficient passers, and become the 2nd (or 3rd depending on system) best fantasy QB through two weeks. As Reid said, Vick is playing out of his mind. Now, with JAX benching a starting corner in their first game, their already weak ass secondary gets weaker. Vick should really light this team up and carry Philly to a huge win.
Oakland at Arizona (-4.5) I haven't jumped off the Oakland bandwagon yet. Yeah, they've played like trash and they've benched the QB whom they had deemed as their savior, and yeah, Nnamdi is hurt....Oh, what the hell am I still doing on this bandwagon. Arizona wins and covers in this game.
San Diego at Seattle (+5.5) For whatever reason, I really like Seattle. I have no real justification for such love, but I really think they're going to have a good season. Yeah, they got lambasted last week, and they'll probably get lambasted this week. Still, though, it's a weak division and anything can happen. San Diego destroyed Jacksonville last week, but I wonder how much the VJAX/Lord of no rings drama is effecting them. I'm going to take San Diego to win this game, but I like Seattle and the points.
Indianapolis at Denver (+5.5) - If you recall the last time these two played, Marshall lit up the Colts for 20(something?) catches, breaking an NFL record. They don't have Marshall anymore, but Demarius Thomas looked really damned good in his debut last week. He's not Marshall (yet), but he looks like he can help that offense. Regardless, the Colts aren't going to lose again for a little while, so Colts -5.5.
NY Jets at Miami (-2) - Ah, the game of the week in my completely unbiased opinion. So, what's the breakdown here? Revis is been declared out and won't travel with the team (although Rex can still declare him eligible). Calvin Pace, he is also likely out. Kris Jenkins, out with yet another torn ACL. Miami looks to possibly be returning Channing walked over tougher guys on the way to a fight Crowder, and possibly Ikaika Alama-Francis. The offense has looked pretty lackluster for Miami, however, some stats to chew on...Henne has a 68% completion percentage with 3TDs and 0INTs against the Jets last year. He's been very very good against them. Intangibles: Miami is playing in their Orange jerseys again. This is only the fourth game they've worn these uni's and they're 3-0. Also, the Marlins in-field dirt will be covered for the game. Henne beats the Jets and Vontae Davis crushes Edwards dreams worse than the NYPD.
Also, my new Vontae knockoff came in today. Looks great
And lastly
MON, SEP 27
Green Bay at Chicago (+3) - Chicago has been playing phenomenally. Cutler, under Martz, has looked nothing short of spectacular against two pretty shitty teams. Now they get a very good Green Bay defense and a great Green Bay offense. Green Bay may be the most balance team in the NFL, and I don't think there's much that Chicago is going to be able to do to stop it. Green Bay to win and cover.
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