Missed last week because I was out of town, but I'm back with a vengeance, kids.
Record: 7-8-1 with the spread
SUN, SEP 26
Tennessee at NY Giants (-3) - Is Tennessee good? They beat up on Oakland, sure, but a loss at home to the Dixon/Batch-led Steelers looks bad. Vince Young keeps talking like it's a given he'll be an MVP some day. That means consistency, which we're still waiting for. Meanwhile, Baby Eli gets his mojo back after being embarrassed by Peytie Pie. Giants win and cover.
Pittsburgh at Tampa Bay (+2.5) - This spread seems funny to me, how much bigger would it be with Big Ben under center? Alas, We'll never know, just like the Milledgeville Police will never know what went on in that bathroom. Regardless, Miz could be playing QB for the Steelers and they'd still take this one. Polamalu and James Harrison could outscore (and maybe outgain) the Bucs offense. Pittsburgh wins big.
Cincinnati at Carolina (+3) - Cincinnati, I am dissapoint. On a team with so much offensive talent, your top performer is Mike Nugent. Good thing the run defense will be able to put Clutch 2.0 into enough 3rd-and-longs to make for an easy afternoon. So much for the best one-two RB tandem in the league, Williams and Stewart are averaging 3.5 and 4.2 yards per carry. Yawn. Bengals win and cover.
Cleveland at Baltimore (-10.5) - Woe is me, my Brownies had such an easy schedule the first two weeks. Nothing says a 2-0 start like dates against Tampa and Kansas City. And yet, Mangenius managed to fuck it up royally. Don't blame the defense, Cleveland has outgained both opponents thus far. This will be a test though, and how long can Ray Rice go without a monster game? The answer is about two more days. Still, these division games are always a dogfight, even if the Dawgs always end up in the basement. Baltimore wins, Cleveland covers.
Dallas at Houston (-2.5) - http://i37.photobucket.com/albums/e5.../RW11keanu.jpg
Texans win and cover.
San Francisco at Kansas City (+3) - I watched San Francisco beat New Orleans on Monday. I don't care about the score, the 49ers got to Breesus and were able to move the ball consistently on your reigning Super Bowl champs. But for a couple of tipped balls, they would have actually won as well. Kudos to Tyche for staying on the bandwagon. And Kansas City? Is there even a bandwagon to get on? Even Tampa Bay is generating more buzz than this team. I'm not buying the Weis/Crennel turnaround just yet. San Francisco wins and covers.
Detroit at Minnesota (-11) - Vikings by 11? Really? I guess Vegas hasn't watched Minnesota yet this year. I thought they'd get by on the strength of their offensive and defensive lines, but losing two heartbreakers doesn't instill a lot of confidence in this year's product. Detroit has also lost two heartbreakers, last week to the Eagles and week one to the rulebook. I can't imagine the Vikings starting 0-3. Wait, yes I can. BWAHAHAHA! Okay, I'm done. Minnesota wins, Detroit covers the ridiculous spread.
Buffalo at New England (-14.5) - Finally, a massive spread that seems reasonable. The Pats looked bad in the second half against the Jets, but otherwise it's business as usual. Week one, I asked why Trent Edwards still had a job. I guess someone heard me. They might as well punt the season and hope for the Ryan Mallet/Jake Locker era to begin in 2011. Still, like the Browns/Ravens, these division games sometimes surprise. Pats to win, Bills to cover.
Atlanta at New Orleans (-3.5) - The Saints have to be the luckiest bunch of cocksuckers on the planet. Held to around 300 yards in both games so far, they're still 2-0. On top of that, Breesus is trying to unseat Peyton for the "write me a check and I'll promote it" award. I'm already sick of them and it's only week three. The Falcons exploded last week and should keep the ground game rolling. Atlanta wins in an upset.
Washington at St. Louis (+3.5) - During the Spurrier/Gibbs 2.0/Zorn eras in DC, the 'Skins would often play to the level of their competition, for better or for worse. Their first two opponents have been very good football teams, and Washington was up to the task. This game should signify if Shanahan has really changed anything in this town. As close as the Rams' two losses have been, they've also come against bad teams. I think McNabb asserts himself with a big win over an inferior defense. 'Skins to win and cover.
Philadelphia at Jacksonville (+2.5) - Any time I think of the Jags, it elicits a thought of "meh." How could a team with a black QB seem so vanilla? The Eagles are apparently gonna ride the Michael Vick train as long as they can, which just might be to a division title. Philly wins big on the road.
Oakland at Arizona (-4.5) - Speaking of "meh," who gives a shit about this game? Prepare to see the wonders of Tim Hightower and Darren McFadden gaining four yards in a cloud of dust over and over again. The difference should be Gradkowski, who I thought proved a lot at the end of last season and should take control of the starting job. Oakland wins in a mild upset.
San Diego at Seattle (+5.5) - The Chargers week one loss to Kansas city might be the best thing that could have happened to them. I fully expect them to beast mode on the next four teams on their weak ass schedule. Seattle, meanwhile, pasted a good team (San Fran) and got waxed by a mediocre team (Denver) so who the hell knows what they've got in the tank. I'm guessing not much. San Diego to win and cover.
Indianapolis at Denver (+5.5) - Remember when Denver started 2009 6-0? They're 3-9 since then, and haven't proven they can hang with the big boys. This game should be no different. Lots of little bumps and bruises for the Colts, but they should still have enough manpower to dispatch Denver. Indy wins and covers.
NY Jets at Miami (-2) - The Dolphins? Favored in my AFC East? It's more likely than you think. This should be another low-scoring affair for Miami, which makes this line a bit tougher than it might normally seem. With Revis out, I expect the 'Fins to make just enough plays to pull this one out. Which would be more hilarious, 0-3 Minnesota or 1-2 New York? I think we'll see half of that equation. Miami wins and covers.
MON, SEP 27
Green Bay at Chicago (+3) - The Most Interesting Interception Machine in the World has looked great early, but THIS GAME IS TOTALLY IN CHICAGO and will be his toughest challenge yet. Thus far on paper, it looks like an even matchup. But do I like Cutler to keep it up? Do I think the Bears defense can contain Rodgers? No, and no. Packers win and cover.
XI Wiki



