His usage percentage is 32.4. That means when he's on the court, 32.4 percent of possessions end with him either taking a shot or turning it over.
That means that 69 percent of the time he does pass. Unlike shooting guards, he’s the principle ball handler so virtually every possession begins with him.
If he’s passing out 65-70 percent of the time then that means he is passing first, not shooting first. So there's that.
So you're still asking, "why does he shoot so much? Why does he have to have such a high usage rate? Wouldn't the team be better if the better shooters were taking the shot?"
Let me ask you this: How many times have you heard Tom Thibodeau complain about Rose shooting too much? None. In fact Thibs designed the offense for him to shoot so much. Are you actually going to fault a player for being coached?
So instead of challenging Rose for doing what he's coached to do, why not ask why he's coached to do it?
Two things I'm certain of: Tom Thibodeau knows more about basketball than me and he knows more about basketball than you.
I have confidence in saying this because Thibs probably knows more about basketball than anyone alive.
So why is a basketball genius coaching his star player to do a thing that is "basketball stupid?" Just pause and consider the possibility, maybe Thibs is right and the stat geeks are wrong.
The answer lies in the fact that it’s actually productive for Rose to shoot whether he’s scoring or not. The fact that he doesn’t score matters some, but not as much as that he shoots.
And believe me, I know that sounds like balderdash, but it’s counter-intuitive.
When Rose penetrates, he breaks down defenses and causes them to collapse. He doesn’t just draw double teams, he draws triple teams and quadruple teams. Some time's he splits quintuple teams and scores the ball. Teams collapse on him.
If teams don’t collapse on him, he’s going to be dunking every ball. You have to double team him, or triple team him. The entire offense is predicated on Rose being a threat with the ball.
If he never shoots or rarely shoots he’s not a threat. Teams don’t collapse on him, they don’t leave players wide open with enough time to watch the extended version of Avatar.
That increased efg percentage by his teammates is a direct result of the threat of Rose getting to the rim, not Rose's scoring..
That’s why Thibs wants Rose to shoot, because it’s the threat that sets up the offense.
When people look at the other Bulls eFG percentage, they need to realize it's not independent of the rest of the offense. Part of the reason Rose's teammates eFG percentage is so high is because he takes so many shots.
In fact, when he passes out of isolation, his teammates shoot well above .540 from the field, period (not just eFG percentage but FG percentage).
That's really, really good. And don't think that means to the player he's passing to. It's when he passes out of isolation.
Sometimes this doesn't show up on the stat sheet.
The idea is to get the ball over to the man who was opened up by the help defense coming to help stop Rose.
Sometimes he'll pass out, but the ball gets whipped around and ends up drained by a player who received the pass from the guy Rose initially passed to, but that field goal was set up by Rose's penetration. There's just not a stat for that.
Second, people that complain about his not being a "true point guard" need to realize his assist percentage is somewhere between eighth and 10th (depending on whatever happens day to day) and is around 40 percent. That means he assists on 40 percent of the field goals not made by him.
Saying he's not a true point guard is like saying that about 80 percent of the point guards in the league are not true point guards.
While I don't have the data I need to determine an exact figure, I can say that based on his usage rate, assists percentage and the field goal percentages of his teammates, Rose creates something around 80 percent of the field goals attempted by his team while he's on the court, but only takes about one third of them.