At week 6, only one team is leading their division (including tie-breakers) that won their division. That team? Easy, the team that's started 3 different QBs...Arizona.
SUN, OCT 17
Seattle at Chicago (-6.5) - Cutler returns after a concussion, and apparently will welcome a new look O-line. I've heard the blame placed on Cutler, Martz, and the offensive line. It's probably a little close to a mish-mosh of several terrible factors culminating in a huge disaster. I don't think Seattle is a bad team, and now they've (lol) improved at RB. Coming off a buy week, the 2-2 Seattle team should be ready and prepared for the task. Seattle to win.
Miami at Green Bay (several lines) - Not going to play the line game here. There's apparently, no shit, a 22 point swing sitting on top of Aaron Rogers head. Here's the quick injury report. Rodgers - Maybe, Barnett - Out, Finley - out, Matthews - unlikely, Tausher - unlikely (last I heard). On the flip side, the Dolphins are returning LB Crowder in all likelihood, as well as LB Ikaiki Alama-Francis. Long will also play, as well as returning Starting guard John Jerry and a possible return of first round pick Jared Odrick. This game is really the polarization of injuries. If the Dolphins want to be a contender, and put themselves back into the thick of games, they have to beat a beat-up Packers team. They've had a bye-week to prepare, and the team typically plays very well off bye week. Sparano is 1-1, with the one loss being to New Orleans in a game they controlled for 3 quarters. The Dolphins have won, I think, 6 strait against Green Bay.
San Diego at St. Louis (+8) - Marcus McNeil makes his debut for the Chargers in this game, to protect the NFL leading (and currently on pace to demolish the NFL single season passing yardage mark) passer Rivers. The STL defense is a LOT better than they are getting credit for. SD is traveling to a 2-2 squad with a pretty damn decent defense. They're historically slow starts, and playing a team that is getting off to an unconventional decent start. Will SD win? Probably, but I don't think it's going to be a blowout.
Baltimore at New England (-2.5) - A rematch of a wildcard round lambasting last year. Welker wasn't playing then, Moss isn't playing now. Tom Brady returns his favorite wideout, Branch. I heard an interesting story from Tim Hasselback concerning this trade. A couple of years ago when at an event, Bill Bellichick was asking Tim how dieon was doing, apparently Bill is a big Branch fan. He also said that he had heard that Brady has been practically begging for Branches return. He said that if Branch was to fly into Boston, Brady would literally pull a Childress/Favre moment and pick Branch up from the airport himself. Brady, for whatever reason, loves Branch like noone else. I think this is a subtle hint that Branch could get involved early and often in the offense. Maybe Tate isn't the guy as everyone is expecting. Baltimore may be the best team in the NFL right now (them, or Pitt in my opinion), but I like Brady to take shots at a thin Baltimore secondary and eek out a win. NE to cover.
New Orleans at Tampa Bay (-4) - Honestly, I may have underplayed my last analysis, as I do believe that Tampa is clearly the best team in the NFL. Josh Freeman was a steal where he was drafted (wherever he was drafted), and Mike Williams may be the best receiver in the NFL. As good as the defending champs are, Tampa is just a whole new level. Look for Freeman to go for 400+ yards and...whoever the back is this week...to go for 150+ and 4 TDs. At least that's what Miz's wife tells me.
Detroit at NY Giants (-10) - Shaun Hill has looked very very good the past few games. However, we now have a Calvin Johnson with a shoulder injury and the Giants are, I think, #1 in the league against the pass. Detroit finally broke the unfortunate series of close losses last week, but I don't think it's looking good for them this week. If Johnson plays, I think they may keep it close, if he doesn't, it could get bad rather quickly.
Atlanta at Philadelphia (-2.5) - Vick has apparently been throwing the ball around, but still a pretty long shot to play, although it hasn't been ruled out as of yet. If the game was in Atlanta, I think he'd probably play through just about anything. Kolb was actually serviceable last week, and if he can shake out the cobwebs, he should still be a good start this week. Atlanta has been playing very very well however. They may be the best team in the NFC. I like Atlanta in this game, Vick or no Vick.
Cleveland at Pittsburgh (-13.5) - Ewww. Ewwwwwww. Pitt is good. Really really really really good. The defense, even better. Probably the best in the league. Which reminds me...
I called the Pitt D being fucking beastly. Pitt wins, doesn't cover. That spread is too damn big for a new starting QB.
Kansas City at Houston (-4.5) - KC practically shut Manning down. I don't know if they're going to be able to pull that out of a hat twice against two very good QBs, but they've proved that they aren't some fluke. There's a 4-way tie in the division between the Texans, Colts, Jags, and Titans, so I expect the teams that are playing to step it up. Houston wins, covers.
Oakland at San Francisco (-6.5) - Not San Francisco.
NY Jets at Denver (+3) - The Jets are, shockingly, 23rd in the league in Pass defense. I don't know if it's not having Revis, but if his play in his games thus far are any indication, it may be best to sit him. He almost single-handily lost the game last week if it wasn't for Favre missing Harvin on a very easy pass. I expect Denver to move the ball on offense pretty willingly in this game. It's going to be a case of LT and Sanchez keeping them in it. Sanchez throws his first pick of the year, the Jets tie the NFL record for longest turnover-less streak, and lose a shootout to Orton and not-so-brickhands-Brandon Lloyd.
Dallas at Minnesota (-1.5) - Talk about a desperate game between two of the most desperate teams in the NFL. Another CB has went down for the year for the Vikings, and, if you remember correctly, they recently traded another of their corners to Miami. It's like a Tony Romo wet dream. Favre's not playing well, the Vikings secondary is banged all to shit, so it seems like a good equation for Dallas...therefore, Vikings cover, because Romo never fails to choke.
Indianapolis at Washington (+3) Yawntastic Sunday night game. I don't know if I've picked Indi to always cover the spread, but I'd be pretty damn sure that I do at least 80% of the time, Sorry, the Redskins rid themselves of the only playmaker on offense that could keep up with Manning. We lu DevinThomas. Indi to win.
MON, OCT 18
Tennessee at Jacksonville (+3) - Why is this a Monday night game? Such a terrible matchup. But, it's between division leaders (they all are!). If the Titans can find their groove in the running game, they should prevail, although the Jacksonville secondary is pretty damned terrible. I've heard MJD injury rumors all week, but let's be real, he'll suit it up. Tennessee wins, and cover.
Ugh, I typed a lot this week.
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