Kermit Vs Piggy: French Election Theater

[Andalusian girls]

we really need a foreign politics thread but it looks like Emmanuel Macron will take the top spot in the first round of France's presidential election with 2nd place Marine Le Pen joining him in the coming run-off on May 7th, where Macron will be the heavy favorite.

[Aerin]

How good are his chances with just those 2 being in the race?

[Krandor]

Depends on how many more terrorist attacks France gets between now and then.

[Andalusian girls]

the most recent poll i found, from L'Express, has him winning 65% to 35% in a head-to-head, while The Guardian tracking poll shows a narrower 58%-42% split. the gap should close now that she will receive more exposure from being 1 of 2 but he is heavily favored.

[Andalusian girls]

conservative candidate Francois Fillon and socialist candidate Benoit Hamon have both conceded and, in perhaps a historic first for the parties, are in agreement in calling for their supporters to back Macron. as expected it looks like more or less the entirety of the French political sphere is uniting against Le Pen.

[Zetanio]

conservative candidate Francois Fillon and socialist candidate Benoit Hamon have both conceded and, in perhaps a historic first for the parties, are in agreement in calling for their supporters to back Macron. as expected it looks like more or less the entirety of the French political sphere is uniting against Le Pen.

Man I have heard this story before somewhere.

[Andalusian girls]

the parallels are striking (inoffensive socially liberal economic centrist vs raging demagogic outsider determined to blow up the system) but also rather superficial, the French political scene is dramatically different from the American one. the most obvious difference being France is a multi-party parliamentary democracy and neither Macron's nor Le Pen's parties have ever won a presidential election, which stands in glaring contrast to Trump gaining support from and assuming control of 1/2 of the political establishment and 40% of the country simply by securing the Republican nomination.

[Zetanio]

Don't ruin my headcanon you fucking dick.

[Niiro]

I can't wait for her version of the Access Hollywood clip.

"I juz, how do you zay, grab zem by ze balls"

[Quicklet]

the parallels are striking (inoffensive socially liberal economic centrist vs raging demagogic outsider determined to blow up the system) but also rather superficial, the French political scene is dramatically different from the American one. the most obvious difference being France is a multi-party parliamentary democracy and neither Macron's nor Le Pen's parties have ever won a presidential election, which stands in glaring contrast to Trump gaining support from and assuming control of 1/2 of the political establishment and 40% of the country simply by securing the Republican nomination.

Plus, you know, the person who wins the popular vote actually wins in France.

[Andalusian girls]

those wacky frogs

[Quicklet]

Is there a French equivalent of pepe in this election?

[Mertron]

a quick look at twitter makes it look like they are also pepes

[Mertron]

speaking of similarities between french/us election, im seeing people on the right sharing this map on twitter and yelling YEAH WELL THE PEN WON A LARGER AREA LIKE TRUMP DID SO MORE OF FRANCE OBVIOUSLY WANTS THE PEN!!!1!

[Zetanio]

Ze balls. You grab zem yes?

So excited to go to France in 6 months. Will it be Jihadnation or #MFGA?

TUNE IN NEXT WEEK.

[6souls]

Obligatory;

[Andalusian girls]

the finest of keks @ Larry Skywalker

[Ragnus]

I feel like this is getting to be some kinda John Oliver Curse. Speaks out against Trump, Trump wins. Speaks out against Brexit, Brexit happens. Speaks out against Le Pen, Le Pen makes it into the run off.

[Zetanio]

I feel like this is getting to be some kinda John Oliver Curse. Speaks out against Trump, Trump wins. Speaks out against Brexit, Brexit happens. Speaks out against Le Pen, Le Pen makes it into the run off.

She was gonna make the runoff either way. I'm surprised she was in 2nd tbh. She had a solid lead last I looked.

[Daydreamer]

I feel like this is getting to be some kinda John Oliver Curse. Speaks out against Trump, Trump wins. Speaks out against Brexit, Brexit happens. Speaks out against Le Pen, Le Pen makes it into the run off.

At this point I fully expect Le Pen to win despite the polls. I'll honestly be surprised if she doesn't.